Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
↓ ERA trending down lately
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (2026-07-24). Rhett Lowder vs Dustin May at Busch Stadium.
Starters — Lowder has a 5.75 ERA and 1.64 WHIP across 72 IP, with 7.63 K/9, 4.38 BB/9, and 1.13 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 2.1 IP and 8 ER on July 18, 2 IP and 0 ER on July 12, and 2 IP and 1 ER on July 8. The recent trend is up, but the overall profile still shows traffic on the bases and below-average command. May carries a 4.78 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 98 IP, with 8.72 K/9, 2.94 BB/9, and a strong 0.64 HR/9. In his last three starts, he allowed 5 ER in 5 IP on July 18, 2 ER in 4 IP on July 12, and 0 ER in 4.2 IP on July 6. The trend is down, though his strikeout rate and home-run suppression remain solid indicators.
Teams — Cincinnati owns a .709 OPS and has scored 423 runs, while batting .230 as a team. The Reds pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA and 1.43 WHIP, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. St. Louis has a .701 OPS with 454 runs scored and a .241 team average. The Cardinals staff has been better run prevention-wise at 4.18 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP, although they are 4-6 in their last 10. Cincinnati brings the slightly better OPS, but St. Louis has the edge in total runs, batting average, and overall pitching efficiency.
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