Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
↓ ERA trending down lately
↓ ERA trending down lately
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians (2026-07-17). Jared Jones vs Gavin Williams at Progressive Field.
Starters — Jared Jones has a 4.37 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 35.0 innings with 10.03 K/9, 2.83 BB/9, and 1.29 HR/9. His last three starts: 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 8 K, 0 BB on July 8; 4.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 2 BB on July 2; 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, 1 BB on June 27. The trend is listed down, but the most recent outing was his sharpest of the three. Gavin Williams carries a 3.81 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 113.1 innings with 10.64 K/9, 2.94 BB/9, and 1.35 HR/9. His last three starts: 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 11 K, 1 BB on July 9; 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 2 BB on July 3; 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 3 BB on June 28. His trend is also listed down, though he has still missed bats at a high rate and comes off an 11-strikeout performance.
Teams — Pittsburgh brings the stronger offensive profile with a .768 OPS, .263 average, and 516 runs scored. The Pirates are also 7-3 over their last 10 games, which supports the recent form angle. Their pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, numbers that suggest more volatility behind Jones. Cleveland has a .679 OPS, .229 average, and 385 runs scored, so the lineup production has been more modest overall. The Guardians are 6-4 in their last 10, and their run prevention has been the cleaner unit with a 3.71 team ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
Jake Mangum has gone 1-for-3 against Gavin Williams, while Ryan O'Hearn owns the strongest track record in this group at 2-for-5 in 6 PA with a .400 average and 1.100 OPS. Marcell Ozuna is 1-for-3 with a 1.666 OPS, and Brandon Lowe has the largest sample at 2-for-11 with a .182 average and .637 OPS. Jacob Gonzalez is hitless against Williams, going 0-for-1 in 2 PA with a .000 OPS. Bryan Reynolds, Esmerlyn Valdez, Nick Gonzales, and Henry Davis have no MLB history vs Williams.
Cleveland’s lineup has almost no familiarity with Jared Jones. Rhys Hoskins is the lone batter with prior exposure, going 1-for-2 in 3 PA with a .500 average and 2.667 OPS. Travis Bazzana, Brayan Rocchio, Chase DeLauter, Kyle Manzardo, Kahlil Watson, Gabriel Arias, Austin Hedges, and Steven Kwan have no MLB history vs Jones.
The away side clearly brings more experience against the opposing starter, with five hitters logging at least one prior plate appearance against Williams. Cleveland has just one batter with any MLB history against Jones, so Jared Jones enters with the more unfamiliar matchup set.