INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL Central

Atlanta Braves 6, Chicago Cubs 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:40 PM ET · Wrigley FieldGame-day snapshot Sep 17, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score55
Atlanta Braves
94–68 · 1st NL East · T-Score 55
6
6–3
FINAL · 9 innings
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 65
3
T-Score65
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Martín PérezATL
StarterWin
6.0524290
Raisel IglesiasATL
ReliefSave
1.0000015
Kevin GausmanCHC
Starter
5.2520694
Jacob WebbCHC
ReliefLoss
0.2221018
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
ATLAtlanta Braves000002202691
CHCChicago Cubs010200000350
Top hitters
Drake Baldwin2-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Ozzie Albies2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Ronald Acuña Jr.1-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Pedro Ramírez1-for-4 · 1 RBI
Miguel Amaya0-for-1 · 1 RBI

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .796 OPS vs LHP, 1th in MLB; Atlanta ranks 11th vs RHP.
LineupCubsThe confirmed Chicago order includes 6 hitters with an OPS above .750 against left-handed pitching.
Starter formBravesPérez has a 1.95 ERA over his last five starts, while Gausman is at 4.94.
Recent formCubsChicago has been the better recent team, at 5–5 over the last 10.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

ATL
Martín Pérez LHP
Martín Pérez
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.08
31st
WHIP
1.25
99th
K/9
6.70
192nd
BB/9
3.83
173rd
P-Score55i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.89
44th
OPS/R
–
IP
131.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.95
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
CHC
Kevin Gausman RHP
Kevin Gausman
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.60
141st
WHIP
1.29
102nd
K/9
9.25
55th
BB/9
2.49
43rd
P-Score58i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.30
137th
OPS/R
–
IP
166.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.94
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Gausman strikes out 2.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Pérez enters with a 3.08 ERA compared with Gausman's 4.60.
·Gausman walks 1.3 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Pérez allows the lower home-run rate: 0.89 vs 1.30 per nine.

Cubs’ No. 1 Offense Meets Atlanta’s Bullpen

Chicago’s offense is the headline at Wrigley. The Cubs lead MLB in runs per game, slugging, OPS and home runs, forcing Atlanta to navigate the league’s most productive lineup. The Braves’ best answer may come late: their bullpen ranks third in ERA and second in WHIP. The starters add uncertainty rather than clarity. Martín Pérez brings a 3.08 ERA, while Kevin Gausman counters with the lower FIP, more strikeouts and fewer walks. Chicago is 44–32 at home, Atlanta leads the NL East, and the season series stands 2–2.

Written by PitcherStat ·

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Pérez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker35%89.2
Changeup31%81.7
Cutter22%85.0
Curveball7%76.7
Four-seam4%89.9
Gausman arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam51%93.8
Splitter39%84.0
Slider8%84.0
Changeup1%83.9
Sweeper1%79.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Braves vs RHP (Kevin Gausman)
11th
in MLB
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cubs vs LHP (Martín Pérez)
1st
in MLB
0.796OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 15, 6:10 PM ET
ATLATL
.751
−25 ptsOPS edge
CHCCHC
.776

Slight edge: CHC

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs RHP Kevin Gausman
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gausman (BvP)
1Drake BaldwinLC82.81725.8882-for-2Very small sample
2Ronald Acuña Jr.RRF76.79620.8170-for-2Very small sample
3Matt OlsonL1B84.82341.8230-for-3Very small sample
4Michael Harris IILCF78.81226.8302-for-9Very small sample
5Mauricio DubónRLF57.72012.7433-for-6Very small sample
6Austin RileyR3B61.65419.6512-for-3Very small sample
7Mike YastrzemskiLLF60.68912.6971-for-3Very small sample
8Ozzie AlbiesS2B54.68522.6570-for-3Very small sample
9Brewer HicklenRRF—.7680.750No MLB historyNo history
1Drake Baldwin C · L.284 / .817 · 25 HRvs hand .888 · 2-for-2 · Very small sample82H-Score2Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R.255 / .796 · 20 HRvs hand .817 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample76H-Score3Matt Olson 1B · L.251 / .823 · 41 HRvs hand .823 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample84H-Score4Michael Harris II CF · L.294 / .812 · 26 HRvs hand .830 · 2-for-9 · Very small sample78H-Score5Mauricio Dubón LF · R.276 / .720 · 12 HRvs hand .743 · 3-for-6 · Very small sample57H-Score6Austin Riley 3B · R.219 / .654 · 19 HRvs hand .651 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample61H-Score7Mike Yastrzemski LF · L.224 / .689 · 12 HRvs hand .697 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample60H-Score8Ozzie Albies 2B · S.237 / .685 · 22 HRvs hand .657 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample54H-Score9Brewer Hicklen RF · R.256 / .768 · 0 HRvs hand .750 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs LHP Martín Pérez
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Pérez (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF84.94245.926No MLB historyNo history
2Seiya SuzukiRRF78.84126.9740-for-1Very small sample
3Alex BregmanR3B76.81928.89110-for-40Limited history
4Tyrone TaylorRLF63.82711.9552-for-5Very small sample
5Nico HoernerR2B49.6668.6930-for-3Very small sample
6Michael BuschL1B68.74520.7330-for-1Very small sample
7Matt ShawRRF52.7375.826No MLB historyNo history
8Pedro RamírezS2B55.7236.981No MLB historyNo history
9Miguel AmayaRC49.7176.713No MLB historyNo history
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .926 · No MLB history · No history84H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .974 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample78H-Score3Alex Bregman 3B · R.265 / .819 · 28 HRvs hand .891 · 10-for-40 · Limited history76H-Score4Tyrone Taylor LF · R.279 / .827 · 11 HRvs hand .955 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample63H-Score5Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .693 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample49H-Score6Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .733 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample68H-Score7Matt Shaw RF · R.237 / .737 · 5 HRvs hand .826 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score8Pedro Ramírez 2B · S.261 / .723 · 6 HRvs hand .981 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score9Miguel Amaya C · R.237 / .717 · 6 HRvs hand .713 · No MLB history · No history49H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseATLATL·CHCCHC
AVG.246 10th.251 6th
OPS.718 16th.767 1st
Home runs204 7th220 3rd
Runs742 8th850 1st
OBP.309 28th.339 2nd
SLG.409 6th.428 1st
PitchingATLATL·CHCCHC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.63vs4.12
ATLCHC
WHIP1.24vs1.26
ATLCHC
K/98.4vs7.8
ATLCHC
HR Allowed185vs231
ATLCHC
BullpenATLATL·CHCCHC
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.89vs3.91
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.25vs1.28
no league rank
Saves49vs36
ATLCHC
ResultsATLATL·CHCCHC
+32212th
Run differential
+4452nd
94–68 Record89–73
4–6 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Atlanta Braves (4–6)
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
Chicago Cubs (5–5)
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—4
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Braves?+
Martín Pérez (3.08 ERA, 8–9) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Kevin Gausman (4.60 ERA, 9–12) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Braves and Cubs performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cubs 4–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Martín Pérez is at 55; Kevin Gausman is at 58. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.