INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL West / AL East

San Diego Padres 4, Tampa Bay Rays 9

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:10 PM ET · Tropicana FieldGame-day snapshot Aug 28, 9:55 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 11, 5:01 AM ET
T-Score51
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 51
4
4–9
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 61
9
T-Score61
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRaysMcClanahan holds a modest edge in P-Score and WHIP, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handRaysTampa owns a .752 OPS vs RHP, 4th in MLB; San ranks 14th vs LHP.
LineupPadresSan's official lineup includes 6 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenRaysTampa owns a 3.71 bullpen ERA this season, compared with San's 3.63.
Recent formPadresSan has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.

Starting pitchers

SD
Casey Mize RHP
Casey Mize
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.44
124th
WHIP
1.09
84th
K/9
8.17
140th
BB/9
2.24
60th
P-Score47i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.86
124th
OPS/R
–
IP
104.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.28
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
TB
Shane McClanahan LHP
Shane McClanahan
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.10
43rd
WHIP
1.12
39th
K/9
8.30
116th
BB/9
3.02
100th
P-Score55i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.67
29th
OPS/R
–
IP
107.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.98
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Mize has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 0%.
·Mize has the stronger command profile, with a 2.2 BB/9 versus 3.0.
·Mize carries a 4.20 road ERA, compared with McClanahan's 2.55 mark at home.
·Both pitchers work on 6 days of rest.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricMizeMcClanahanNote
Career vs opponent– ERA, 4 GS– ERA, 1 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Mize arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam35%93.3
Slider28%87.4
Splitter24%87.7
Sinker10%93.5
Slurve4%81.2
McClanahan arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam38%95.6
Changeup28%86.9
Slider18%88.2
Curveball15%82.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Padres vs LHP (Shane McClanahan)
14th
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Rays vs RHP (Casey Mize)
4th
in MLB
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs LHP Shane McClanahan
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs McClanahan (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF84.82825.9871-for-2Very small sample
2Luis RengifoSLF42.6364.5700-for-3Very small sample
3Manny MachadoR3B68.71030.7360-for-3Very small sample
4Ty FranceR1B80.86521.8531-for-6Very small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF68.74326.720No MLB historyNo history
6Xander BogaertsRSS57.67613.6160-for-3Very small sample
7Austin HaysRDH34.7053.7993-for-11Small sample
8Freddy FerminRC36.5894.549No MLB historyNo history
9Jake CronenworthL2B38.6297.5761-for-2Very small sample
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .987 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample84H-Score2Luis Rengifo LF · S.240 / .636 · 4 HRvs hand .570 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample42H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .736 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .853 · 1-for-6 · Very small sample80H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .720 · No MLB history · No history68H-Score6Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .616 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample57H-Score7Austin Hays DH · R.280 / .705 · 3 HRvs hand .799 · 3-for-11 · Small sample34H-Score8Freddy Fermin C · R.203 / .589 · 4 HRvs hand .549 · No MLB history · No history36H-Score9Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .576 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample38H-Score
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Casey Mize
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Mize (BvP)
1Yandy DíazRDH78.80522.8162-for-3Very small sample
2Jonathan ArandaL1B70.79222.8371-for-1Very small sample
3Junior CamineroR3B91.88442.8710-for-1Very small sample
4Liam HicksLC63.80118.9021-for-3Very small sample
5Chandler SimpsonLLF43.6890.718No MLB historyNo history
6Jonny DeLucaRRF50.72911.773No MLB historyNo history
7Cedric MullinsLCF49.62815.6473-for-10Small sample
8Jorge MateoRSS31.5595.6910-for-2Very small sample
9Taylor WallsSSS34.6072.6441-for-1Very small sample
1Yandy Díaz DH · R.293 / .805 · 22 HRvs hand .816 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample78H-Score2Jonathan Aranda 1B · L.274 / .792 · 22 HRvs hand .837 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample70H-Score3Junior Caminero 3B · R.276 / .884 · 42 HRvs hand .871 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample91H-Score4Liam Hicks C · L.284 / .801 · 18 HRvs hand .902 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample63H-Score5Chandler Simpson LF · L.306 / .689 · 0 HRvs hand .718 · No MLB history · No history43H-Score6Jonny DeLuca RF · R.266 / .729 · 11 HRvs hand .773 · No MLB history · No history50H-Score7Cedric Mullins CF · L.205 / .628 · 15 HRvs hand .647 · 3-for-10 · Small sample49H-Score8Jorge Mateo SS · R.203 / .559 · 5 HRvs hand .691 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample31H-Score9Taylor Walls SS · S.222 / .607 · 2 HRvs hand .644 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample34H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseSDSD·TBTB
AVG.244 17th.258 2nd
OPS.717 18th.728 8th
Home runs183 14th169 22nd
Runs722 15th736 12th
OBP.319 11th.326 6th
SLG.398 19th.402 14th
PitchingSDSD·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.99vs3.70
SDTB
WHIP1.29vs1.14
SDTB
K/98.2vs8.3
SDTB
HR Allowed180vs201
SDTB
BullpenSDSD·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.63vs3.71
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.27vs1.14
no league rank
Saves48vs58
SDTB
ResultsSDSD·TBTB
+30417th
Run differential
+3706th
91–71 Record98–64
6–4 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
San Diego Padres (6–4)
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
Tampa Bay Rays (5–5)
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—3
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Padres?+
Casey Mize (3.44 ERA, 5–7) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Shane McClanahan (3.10 ERA, 9–6) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Padres and Rays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Rays 3–0 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Casey Mize is at 47; Shane McClanahan is at 55. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.