INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL West / AL East

San Diego Padres 4, Tampa Bay Rays 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:40 PM ET · Tropicana FieldGame-day snapshot Aug 30, 5:10 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score47
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 47
4
4–5
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 57
5
T-Score57
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRaysTampa has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Rasmussen leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handPadresSan owns a .722 OPS vs RHP, 15th in MLB; Tampa ranks 25th vs LHP.
LineupRaysTampa's official lineup includes 6 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenRaysTampa owns a 3.76 bullpen ERA this season, compared with San's 3.67.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 57–47 in T-Score.

Starting pitchers

SD
Robbie Ray LHP
Robbie Ray
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.21
58th
WHIP
1.31
133rd
K/9
7.68
137th
BB/9
4.41
203rd
P-Score49i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.20
109th
OPS/R
–
IP
143.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.42
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
TB
Drew Rasmussen RHP
Drew Rasmussen
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.95
11th
WHIP
0.93
5th
K/9
9.17
63rd
BB/9
1.60
4th
P-Score75i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.83
22nd
OPS/R
–
IP
140.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.48
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Rasmussen allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.93 WHIP compared with 1.31.
·Rasmussen strikes out 1.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Ray has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.37 more per nine innings.
·Rasmussen has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 40%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricRayRasmussenNote
Career vs opponent4.26 ERA, 1 GS– ERA, 2 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Ray arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam31%93.1
Slider23%86.1
Changeup19%86.2
Sinker15%92.6
Knuckle Curve12%79.6
Rasmussen arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter29%90.0
Four-seam28%95.8
Sinker24%95.3
Changeup13%89.6
Curveball3%80.1
Sweeper3%84.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Padres vs RHP (Drew Rasmussen)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Rays vs LHP (Robbie Ray)
25th
in MLB
0.679OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Drew Rasmussen
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Rasmussen (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF84.82825.782No MLB historyNo history
2Jake CronenworthL2B38.6297.6301-for-2Very small sample
3Manny MachadoR3B68.71030.7140-for-1Very small sample
4Ty FranceR1B77.86521.8690-for-1Very small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF68.74326.7440-for-1Very small sample
6Xander BogaertsRSS57.67613.6870-for-2Very small sample
7Dustin HarrisLLF42.7360.803No MLB historyNo history
8Freddy FerminRC35.5894.605No MLB historyNo history
9Sung-Mun SongL2B33.5351.558No MLB historyNo history
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .782 · No MLB history · No history84H-Score2Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .630 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample38H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .714 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample68H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample77H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .744 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample68H-Score6Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .687 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample57H-Score7Dustin Harris LF · L.293 / .736 · 0 HRvs hand .803 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score8Freddy Fermin C · R.203 / .589 · 4 HRvs hand .605 · No MLB history · No history35H-Score9Sung-Mun Song 2B · L.191 / .535 · 1 HRvs hand .558 · No MLB history · No history33H-Score
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs LHP Robbie Ray
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Ray (BvP)
1Yandy DíazRDH78.80522.7800-for-3Very small sample
2Jonathan ArandaL1B67.79222.6780-for-1Very small sample
3Junior CamineroR3B87.88442.9161-for-3Very small sample
4Ryan ViladeRRF60.75011.8350-for-5Very small sample
5Chandler SimpsonLLF43.6890.6331-for-2Very small sample
6Jonny DeLucaRRF47.72911.6870-for-2Very small sample
7Jorge MateoRSS31.5595.5690-for-8Very small sample
8Nick FortesRC41.6806.6440-for-2Very small sample
9Taylor WallsSSS34.6072.5192-for-10Small sample
1Yandy Díaz DH · R.293 / .805 · 22 HRvs hand .780 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample78H-Score2Jonathan Aranda 1B · L.274 / .792 · 22 HRvs hand .678 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample67H-Score3Junior Caminero 3B · R.276 / .884 · 42 HRvs hand .916 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample87H-Score4Ryan Vilade RF · R.245 / .750 · 11 HRvs hand .835 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample60H-Score5Chandler Simpson LF · L.306 / .689 · 0 HRvs hand .633 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample43H-Score6Jonny DeLuca RF · R.266 / .729 · 11 HRvs hand .687 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample47H-Score7Jorge Mateo SS · R.203 / .559 · 5 HRvs hand .569 · 0-for-8 · Very small sample31H-Score8Nick Fortes C · R.258 / .680 · 6 HRvs hand .644 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample41H-Score9Taylor Walls SS · S.222 / .607 · 2 HRvs hand .519 · 2-for-10 · Small sample34H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseSDSD·TBTB
AVG.244 17th.258 1st
OPS.717 19th.728 8th
Home runs183 15th169 22nd
Runs722 15th736 12th
OBP.319 12th.326 6th
SLG.398 20th.402 13th
PitchingSDSD·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.99vs3.70
SDTB
WHIP1.29vs1.14
SDTB
K/98.2vs8.3
SDTB
HR Allowed180vs201
SDTB
BullpenSDSD·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.67vs3.76
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.25vs1.17
no league rank
Saves48vs58
SDTB
ResultsSDSD·TBTB
+30718th
Run differential
+3786th
91–71 Record98–64
5–5 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
San Diego Padres (5–5)
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
Tampa Bay Rays (6–4)
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—3
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Padres?+
Robbie Ray (3.21 ERA, 11–7) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Drew Rasmussen (2.95 ERA, 14–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Padres and Rays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Rays 3–0 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Robbie Ray is at 49; Drew Rasmussen is at 75. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.