Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers (2026-08-06). Braxton Ashcraft vs Dustin May at American Family Field.

Starters — Ashcraft has a 3.96 ERA and 1.16 WHIP across 127.1 innings, with 9.9 K/9, 2.19 BB/9, and 1.2 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 1 BB; 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 5 K, 2 BB; and 3.0 IP, 7 ER, 2 K, 1 BB. The strikeout rate and control are strong, but the recent form is tagged as down after one rough outing two starts back. May carries a 4.38 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 109.0 innings, with 8.75 K/9, 2.89 BB/9, and an excellent 0.58 HR/9. His last three were 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 2 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 1 BB; and 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 6 K, 4 BB. His trend is also listed as down, though his last two outings were clearly sharper and his home run suppression stands out.

Teams — Pittsburgh owns a .746 OPS and 586 runs scored, slightly ahead of Milwaukee’s .733 OPS and 566 runs. The Pirates are hitting .256 as a club, while the Brewers are at .253, so the offensive gap is narrow with a small edge to Pittsburgh in production. On the pitching side, Milwaukee has the stronger full-team profile with a 3.45 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, compared with Pittsburgh’s 4.30 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Recent form also favors the Brewers at 6-4 over their last 10, while the Pirates are 3-7. For bettors, that sets up a contrast between Pittsburgh’s modest offensive edge and Milwaukee’s better overall run prevention plus better recent team form.