INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL Central

Minnesota Twins 4, Kansas City Royals 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:40 PM ET · Kauffman StadiumStats updated Aug 6, 6:45 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score42
Minnesota Twins
71–82 · 4th AL Central · T-Score 42
4
4–3
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
67–86 · 5th AL Central · T-Score 35
3
T-Score35
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRoyalsKansas has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Wacha leads in P-Score, WHIP and FIP.
Offense vs handTwinsMinnesota has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupRoyalsKansas's official lineup includes 6 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenTwinsMinnesota has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formEvenBoth clubs are 1–4 in their last five, with only a 1-run difference in run differential.

Starting pitchers

MIN
Bailey Ober RHP
Bailey Ober
Minnesota Twins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.32
119th
WHIP
1.28
98th
K/9
6.44
190th
BB/9
2.63
61st
P-Score48i
FIP
4.60
HR/9
1.39
144th
OPS/R
0.710
IP
123.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.30
Road ERA5.84
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.76
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
KC
Michael Wacha RHP
Michael Wacha
Kansas City Royals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.34
41st
WHIP
1.10
33rd
K/9
7.11
155th
BB/9
2.34
38th
P-Score63i
FIP
4.09
HR/9
1.29
127th
OPS/R
0.793
IP
188.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.93
Road ERA3.56
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.25
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Wacha allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.10 WHIP compared with 1.28.
·Wacha enters with a 3.34 ERA compared with Ober's 4.32.
·Wacha has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 20%.
·Wacha owns a 4.25 ERA over his last five starts, compared with 5.76 for Ober.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricOberWachaNote
ERA−10476Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.604.09
WAR1.32.8Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Ober arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Changeup34%82.6
Four-seam32%88.0
Slider18%82.4
Sweeper12%76.0
Sinker3%88.5
Curveball1%72.8
Wacha arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam27%93.1
Changeup25%80.7
Cutter15%89.5
Sinker14%93.2
Curveball10%76.0
Slider9%84.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Twins vs RHP (Michael Wacha)
8th
in MLB
0.740OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Royals vs RHP (Bailey Ober)
14th
in MLB
0.721OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Minnesota TwinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Michael Wacha
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Wacha (BvP)
1Trevor LarnachLLF66.78813.819No MLB historyNo history
2Luke KeaschallR2B60.7579.782No MLB historyNo history
3Kody ClemensL2B77.77326.803No MLB historyNo history
4Josh BellSDH72.73420.734No MLB historyNo history
5Royce LewisR1B59.67114.659No MLB historyNo history
6Brooks LeeS3B63.72523.793No MLB historyNo history
7Alan RodenLRF—.6460.576No MLB historyNo history
8Victor CaratiniSC53.6317.666No MLB historyNo history
9Tristan GrayLSS31.5914.597No MLB historyNo history
1Trevor Larnach LF · L.269 / .788 · 13 HRvs hand .819 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score2Luke Keaschall 2B · R.279 / .757 · 9 HRvs hand .782 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score3Kody Clemens 2B · L.242 / .773 · 26 HRvs hand .803 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score4Josh Bell DH · S.252 / .734 · 20 HRvs hand .734 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score5Royce Lewis 1B · R.226 / .671 · 14 HRvs hand .659 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score6Brooks Lee 3B · S.248 / .725 · 23 HRvs hand .793 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score7Alan Roden RF · L.254 / .646 · 0 HRvs hand .576 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Victor Caratini C · S.221 / .631 · 7 HRvs hand .666 · No MLB history · No history53H-Score9Tristan Gray SS · L.225 / .591 · 4 HRvs hand .597 · No MLB history · No history31H-Score
Kansas City RoyalsOfficial lineupvs RHP Bailey Ober
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Ober (BvP)
1Carter JensenLC77.77325.821No MLB historyNo history
2Bobby Witt Jr.RSS81.80218.794No MLB historyNo history
3Jac CaglianoneLRF78.81723.854No MLB historyNo history
4Salvador PerezRDH56.64219.605No MLB historyNo history
5Michael MasseyL2B64.75113.730No MLB historyNo history
6Isaac CollinsSLF54.6536.677No MLB historyNo history
7John RaveLRF61.7646.804No MLB historyNo history
8Josh RojasL3B33.6232.615No MLB historyNo history
9Kyle IsbelLCF37.5846.648No MLB historyNo history
1Carter Jensen C · L.233 / .773 · 25 HRvs hand .821 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score2Bobby Witt Jr. SS · R.279 / .802 · 18 HRvs hand .794 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score3Jac Caglianone RF · L.279 / .817 · 23 HRvs hand .854 · No MLB history · No history78H-Score4Salvador Perez DH · R.225 / .642 · 19 HRvs hand .605 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score5Michael Massey 2B · L.277 / .751 · 13 HRvs hand .730 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score6Isaac Collins LF · S.217 / .653 · 6 HRvs hand .677 · No MLB history · No history54H-Score7John Rave RF · L.228 / .764 · 6 HRvs hand .804 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score8Josh Rojas 3B · L.240 / .623 · 2 HRvs hand .615 · No MLB history · No history33H-Score9Kyle Isbel CF · L.218 / .584 · 6 HRvs hand .648 · No MLB history · No history37H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMINMIN·KCKC
AVG.244 14th.245 13th
OPS.720 13th.713 21st
Home runs177 14th161 22nd
Runs696 12th653 23rd
OBP.317 14th.315 19th
SLG.403 11th.398 20th
PitchingMINMIN·KCKC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.67vs4.66
MINKC
WHIP1.38vs1.39
MINKC
K/98.6vs7.4
MINKC
HR Allowed178vs194
MINKC
BullpenMINMIN·KCKC
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.30vs4.78
no league rank
Saves41vs36
MINKC
ResultsMINMIN·KCKC
+15723rd
Run differential
+12527th
71–82 Record67–86
5–5 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Minnesota Twins (5–5)
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
Kansas City Royals (5–5)
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
6—7
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Twins?+
Bailey Ober (4.45 ERA, 7–3) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Royals?+
Michael Wacha (3.51 ERA, 5–8) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Kauffman Stadium, home of the Kansas City Royals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Twins and Royals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Royals 7–6 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Bailey Ober is at 48; Michael Wacha is at 63. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.