INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central

Pittsburgh Pirates 2, Milwaukee Brewers 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:40 PM ET · American Family FieldStats updated Aug 5, 7:45 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score53
Pittsburgh Pirates
76–77 · 3rd NL Central · T-Score 53
2
2–4
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
95–58 · 1st NL Central · T-Score 77
4
T-Score77
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPiratesThe starters are close overall, but Skenes owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handBrewersMilwaukee has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenBrewersMilwaukee has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Starter formBrewersHarrison has a 2.67 ERA over his last five starts, while Skenes is at 4.88.
Recent formBrewersMilwaukee has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Starting pitchers

PIT
Paul Skenes RHP
Paul Skenes
Pittsburgh Pirates
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.91
94th
WHIP
1.13
40th
K/9
10.29
29th
BB/9
2.52
50th
P-Score66i
FIP
3.23
HR/9
1.02
76th
OPS/R
0.673
IP
168.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.70
Road ERA3.87
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.88
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
MIL
Kyle Harrison LHP
Kyle Harrison
Milwaukee Brewers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.25
116th
WHIP
1.34
122nd
K/9
10.90
13th
BB/9
2.80
76th
P-Score56i
FIP
4.03
HR/9
1.60
179th
OPS/R
0.820
IP
112.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA1.89
Road ERA6.20
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.67
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
28
How the starters differ
·Skenes allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.13 WHIP compared with 1.34.
·Skenes allows the lower home-run rate: 1.02 vs 1.60 per nine.
·Skenes owns the lower FIP, 3.23 to 4.03.
·Skenes enters with a 3.87 road ERA; Harrison owns a 1.89 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricSkenesHarrisonNote
ERA−8796Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.234.03
WAR4.11.6Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Skenes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam41%96.8
Sweeper15%84.3
Changeup13%88.7
Sinker12%96.6
Splitter11%93.2
Slider8%86.7
Curveball0%81.8
Harrison arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam57%94.7
Slurve32%82.0
Changeup9%85.8
Sinker2%94.3

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Pirates vs LHP (Kyle Harrison)
18th
in MLB
0.695OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Brewers vs RHP (Paul Skenes)
2nd
in MLB
0.763OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Pittsburgh PiratesOfficial lineupvs LHP Kyle Harrison
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Harrison (BvP)
1Jake MangumSCF44.7034.675No MLB historyNo history
2Brandon LoweL2B77.81932.612No MLB historyNo history
3Bryan ReynoldsSLF80.79317.824No MLB historyNo history
4Esmerlyn ValdezRRF78.855171.011No MLB historyNo history
5Nick GonzalesR3B57.7596.653No MLB historyNo history
6Endy RodríguezSC67.8407.547No MLB historyNo history
7Jared TrioloRSS41.6183.688No MLB historyNo history
8Rafael Flores Jr.RC69.8439.809No MLB historyNo history
9Jhostynxon GarciaRRF—.3880.236No MLB historyNo history
1Jake Mangum CF · S.281 / .703 · 4 HRvs hand .675 · No MLB history · No history44H-Score2Brandon Lowe 2B · L.260 / .819 · 32 HRvs hand .612 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score3Bryan Reynolds LF · S.263 / .793 · 17 HRvs hand .824 · No MLB history · No history80H-Score4Esmerlyn Valdez RF · R.232 / .855 · 17 HRvs hand 1.011 · No MLB history · No history78H-Score5Nick Gonzales 3B · R.304 / .759 · 6 HRvs hand .653 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score6Endy Rodríguez C · S.267 / .840 · 7 HRvs hand .547 · No MLB history · No history67H-Score7Jared Triolo SS · R.241 / .618 · 3 HRvs hand .688 · No MLB history · No history41H-Score8Rafael Flores Jr. C · R.268 / .843 · 9 HRvs hand .809 · No MLB history · No history69H-Score9Jhostynxon Garcia RF · R.167 / .388 · 0 HRvs hand .236 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Milwaukee BrewersOfficial lineupvs RHP Paul Skenes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Skenes (BvP)
1Brice TurangL2B77.80819.896No MLB historyNo history
2Jackson ChourioRLF81.83124.782No MLB historyNo history
3Garrett MitchellLCF75.78911.819No MLB historyNo history
4William ContrerasRC77.76117.759No MLB historyNo history
5Christian YelichLDH61.69811.726No MLB historyNo history
6Andrew VaughnR1B73.8426.764No MLB historyNo history
7Luis LaraSRF48.6661.690No MLB historyNo history
8Cooper PrattRSS48.7193.754No MLB historyNo history
9David HamiltonL3B41.6434.645No MLB historyNo history
1Brice Turang 2B · L.266 / .808 · 19 HRvs hand .896 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score2Jackson Chourio LF · R.287 / .831 · 24 HRvs hand .782 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score3Garrett Mitchell CF · L.267 / .789 · 11 HRvs hand .819 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score4William Contreras C · R.271 / .761 · 17 HRvs hand .759 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score5Christian Yelich DH · L.239 / .698 · 11 HRvs hand .726 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score6Andrew Vaughn 1B · R.309 / .842 · 6 HRvs hand .764 · No MLB history · No history73H-Score7Luis Lara RF · S.256 / .666 · 1 HRvs hand .690 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score8Cooper Pratt SS · R.280 / .719 · 3 HRvs hand .754 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score9David Hamilton 3B · L.242 / .643 · 4 HRvs hand .645 · No MLB history · No history41H-Score

Team comparison

OffensePITPIT·MILMIL
AVG.254 4th.259 2nd
OPS.735 6th.747 4th
Home runs176 14th148 28th
Runs738 5th798 2nd
OBP.331 4th.342 1st
SLG.404 11th.405 9th
PitchingPITPIT·MILMIL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.19vs3.59
PITMIL
WHIP1.30vs1.19
PITMIL
K/99.2vs9.7
PITMIL
HR Allowed148vs165
PITMIL
BullpenPITPIT·MILMIL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.20vs3.66
no league rank
Saves36vs49
PITMIL
ResultsPITPIT·MILMIL
+24912th
Run differential
+3602nd
76–77 Record95–58
4–6 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Pirates (4–6)
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
Milwaukee Brewers (6–4)
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—10
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Pirates?+
Paul Skenes (3.90 ERA, 9–9) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Kyle Harrison (3.01 ERA, 8–2) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at American Family Field.
Where is the game being played?+
American Family Field, home of the Milwaukee Brewers.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Pirates and Brewers performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Brewers 10–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Paul Skenes is at 66; Kyle Harrison is at 56. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.