INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / AL West

Tampa Bay Rays 4, Seattle Mariners 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:10 PM ET · T-Mobile ParkGame-day snapshot Aug 9, 5:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 4, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score67
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 67
4
4–1
FINAL
Seattle Mariners
76–86 · 3rd AL West · T-Score 44
1
T-Score44
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handRaysTampa has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupRaysTampa's official lineup includes 5 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formRaysTampa has won 8 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Starting pitchers

TB
Ian Seymour LHP
Ian Seymour
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.27
120th
WHIP
1.13
42nd
K/9
10.57
18th
BB/9
2.99
48th
P-Score55i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.39
198th
OPS/R
–
IP
84.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.57
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
SEA
Emerson Hancock RHP
Emerson Hancock
Seattle Mariners
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.33
56th
WHIP
1.07
44th
K/9
8.36
112th
BB/9
2.24
26th
P-Score57i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.16
131st
OPS/R
–
IP
116.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.73
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Seymour strikes out 2.2 more batters per nine innings.
·Hancock enters with a 3.33 ERA compared with Seymour's 4.27.
·Hancock walks 0.8 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Hancock allows the lower home-run rate: 1.16 vs 1.39 per nine.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Seymour arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Changeup29%83.5
Four-seam27%91.4
Sweeper20%81.7
Sinker16%90.0
Slider6%83.2
Curveball1%72.7
Cutter1%87.1
Hancock arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam39%95.4
Sinker23%94.8
Sweeper16%77.2
Cutter12%85.8
Changeup5%87.1
Curveball4%76.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Rays vs RHP (Emerson Hancock)
4th
in MLB
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Mariners vs LHP (Ian Seymour)
30th
in MLB
0.655OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Emerson Hancock
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Hancock (BvP)
1Yandy DíazRDH79.80522.816No MLB historyNo history
2Jonathan ArandaL1B76.79222.837No MLB historyNo history
3Chandler SimpsonLLF42.6890.718No MLB historyNo history
4Junior CamineroR3B87.88442.871No MLB historyNo history
5Liam HicksLC63.80118.902No MLB historyNo history
6Victor Mesa Jr.LRF69.82514.811No MLB historyNo history
7Cedric MullinsLCF47.62815.647No MLB historyNo history
8Ryan ViladeRRF62.75011.641No MLB historyNo history
9Taylor WallsSSS34.6072.644No MLB historyNo history
1Yandy Díaz DH · R.293 / .805 · 22 HRvs hand .816 · No MLB history · No history79H-Score2Jonathan Aranda 1B · L.274 / .792 · 22 HRvs hand .837 · No MLB history · No history76H-Score3Chandler Simpson LF · L.306 / .689 · 0 HRvs hand .718 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score4Junior Caminero 3B · R.276 / .884 · 42 HRvs hand .871 · No MLB history · No history87H-Score5Liam Hicks C · L.284 / .801 · 18 HRvs hand .902 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score6Victor Mesa Jr. RF · L.260 / .825 · 14 HRvs hand .811 · No MLB history · No history69H-Score7Cedric Mullins CF · L.205 / .628 · 15 HRvs hand .647 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score8Ryan Vilade RF · R.245 / .750 · 11 HRvs hand .641 · No MLB history · No history62H-Score9Taylor Walls SS · S.222 / .607 · 2 HRvs hand .644 · No MLB history · No history34H-Score
Seattle MarinersOfficial lineupvs LHP Ian Seymour
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Seymour (BvP)
1Taylor WardRDH57.6707.712No MLB historyNo history
2Cole YoungL2B58.69317.584No MLB historyNo history
3Randy ArozarenaRLF78.86526.871No MLB historyNo history
4Dominic CanzoneLDH77.82023.785No MLB historyNo history
5Julio RodríguezRCF63.70822.672No MLB historyNo history
6Josh NaylorL1B52.66710.713No MLB historyNo history
7Cal RaleighSC60.66423.573No MLB historyNo history
8Weston WilsonR3B30.5894.577No MLB historyNo history
9Colt EmersonLSS27.5818.601No MLB historyNo history
1Taylor Ward DH · R.225 / .670 · 7 HRvs hand .712 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score2Cole Young 2B · L.246 / .693 · 17 HRvs hand .584 · No MLB history · No history58H-Score3Randy Arozarena LF · R.281 / .865 · 26 HRvs hand .871 · No MLB history · No history78H-Score4Dominic Canzone DH · L.264 / .820 · 23 HRvs hand .785 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score5Julio Rodríguez CF · R.247 / .708 · 22 HRvs hand .672 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score6Josh Naylor 1B · L.261 / .667 · 10 HRvs hand .713 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score7Cal Raleigh C · S.182 / .664 · 23 HRvs hand .573 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score8Weston Wilson 3B · R.201 / .589 · 4 HRvs hand .577 · No MLB history · No history30H-Score9Colt Emerson SS · L.190 / .581 · 8 HRvs hand .601 · No MLB history · No history27H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTBTB·SEASEA
AVG.258 1st.233 29th
OPS.728 8th.693 27th
Home runs169 22nd182 17th
Runs736 12th664 28th
OBP.326 5th.314 21st
SLG.402 13th.379 28th
PitchingTBTB·SEASEA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.70vs4.20
TBSEA
WHIP1.14vs1.27
TBSEA
K/98.3vs8.8
TBSEA
HR Allowed201vs194
TBSEA
BullpenTBTB·SEASEA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.63vs3.59
no league rank
Saves58vs35
TBSEA
ResultsTBTB·SEASEA
+3604th
Run differential
+18627th
98–64 Record76–86
8–2 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Rays (8–2)
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
Seattle Mariners (3–7)
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Rays?+
Ian Seymour (4.27 ERA, 8–3) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Mariners?+
Emerson Hancock (3.33 ERA, 6–6) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park.
Where is the game being played?+
T-Mobile Park, home of the Seattle Mariners.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Rays and Mariners performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Mariners 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ian Seymour is at 55; Emerson Hancock is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.