Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals (2026-08-09). Michael Lorenzen vs Michael McGreevy at Busch Stadium.

Starters — Lorenzen has a 6.94 ERA and 1.85 WHIP across 107.2 innings, with 6.69 K/9, 3.59 BB/9, and 1.42 HR/9. His last three starts were rough: 3.0 IP, 7 ER, 0 K, 3 BB; 4.0 IP, 3 ER, 2 K, 1 BB; and 3.2 IP, 6 ER, 5 K, 1 BB. The trend is up, but the recent run prevention profile is still poor. McGreevy has a 3.59 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 120.1 innings, with 6.06 K/9, 2.24 BB/9, and 1.20 HR/9. His last three starts were 4.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 1 BB; 1.2 IP, 7 ER, 2 K, 2 BB; and 6.1 IP, 4 ER, 3 K, 3 BB. The trend is also up, and his full-season command and WHIP are clearly steadier.

Teams — Colorado brings the better offensive surface numbers with a .746 OPS, 564 runs, and a .256 average, but the pitching staff has struggled badly with a 5.48 team ERA and 1.51 WHIP. The Rockies are 4-6 over their last 10 games. St. Louis has a more modest offensive line at a .694 OPS, 508 runs, and a .239 average, yet the staff has been much more stable with a 4.14 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. The Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10. For bettors, this sets up as Colorado having the stronger lineup on paper, while St. Louis owns the cleaner run-prevention baseline both from the starter and the broader staff.