Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handYankeesNew has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
WeatherLow impact58°F, wind 9 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Fried allows the lower home-run rate: 0.34 vs 0.76 per nine.
·Rasmussen walks 1.0 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Rasmussen enters with a 2.57 road ERA; Fried owns a 3.10 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Rasmussen | Fried | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 67 | 64 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 2.87 | 2.63 | |
| WAR | 4.6 | 3.3 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Rasmussen arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Cutter | 29% | 90.0 |
| Four-seam | 28% | 95.9 |
| Sinker | 23% | 95.3 |
| Changeup | 13% | 89.7 |
| Curveball | 4% | 80.1 |
| Sweeper | 3% | 84.5 |
Fried arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Cutter | 22% | 91.9 |
| Sinker | 21% | 93.1 |
| Four-seam | 18% | 94.9 |
| Curveball | 14% | 73.6 |
| Changeup | 12% | 85.6 |
| Sweeper | 12% | 79.9 |
| Slider | 1% | 85.9 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.688OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.713OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
TB·
NYY+27710th
Run differential
+3244th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Drew Rasmussen is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Yankees?+
Max Fried is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Yankee Stadium, home of the New York Yankees.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Drew Rasmussen is at 74; Max Fried is at 71. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.