INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsAL East

Tampa Bay Rays 3, Baltimore Orioles 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:15 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden YardsGame-day snapshot Aug 21, 9:40 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 4, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score67
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 67
3
3–5
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
79–82 · 4th AL East · T-Score 50
5
T-Score50
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherOriolesRogers owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handOriolesBaltimore has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupRaysTampa's official lineup includes 6 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenRaysTampa has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 67–50 in T-Score.

Starting pitchers

TB
Freddy Peralta RHP
Freddy Peralta
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.27
132nd
WHIP
1.48
123rd
K/9
8.65
102nd
BB/9
3.73
132nd
P-Score54i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.41
118th
OPS/R
–
IP
128.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.92
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
BAL
Trevor Rogers LHP
Trevor Rogers
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.15
106th
WHIP
1.25
65th
K/9
7.73
100th
BB/9
2.51
24th
P-Score61i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.93
79th
OPS/R
–
IP
125.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.72
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Rogers allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.25 WHIP compared with 1.48.
·Rogers enters with a 4.15 ERA compared with Peralta's 5.27.
·Rogers allows the lower home-run rate: 0.93 vs 1.41 per nine.
·Rogers has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 20%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricPeraltaRogersNote
Career vs opponent3.86 ERA, 1 GS8.38 ERA, 2 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Peralta arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam53%94.3
Changeup23%87.4
Curveball13%79.5
Sweeper6%82.4
Slider4%83.1
Slow Curve1%74.8
Rogers arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%93.8
Changeup21%87.0
Sweeper14%78.1
Sinker10%93.4
Cutter8%83.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Rays vs LHP (Trevor Rogers)
25th
in MLB
0.679OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Orioles vs RHP (Freddy Peralta)
18th
in MLB
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs LHP Trevor Rogers
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Rogers (BvP)
1Yandy DíazRDH79.80522.8632-for-2Very small sample
2Ryan ViladeRRF62.75011.8351-for-1Very small sample
3Jonny DeLucaRRF49.72911.6871-for-2Very small sample
4Junior CamineroR3B87.88442.9382-for-5Very small sample
5Chandler SimpsonLLF42.6890.6341-for-5Very small sample
6Jorge MateoRSS33.5595.5690-for-2Very small sample
7Kenny PiperRC—.92011.833No MLB historyNo history
8Liam HicksLC63.80118.498No MLB historyNo history
9Taylor WallsSSS36.6072.5190-for-2Very small sample
1Yandy Díaz DH · R.293 / .805 · 22 HRvs hand .863 · 2-for-2 · Very small sample79H-Score2Ryan Vilade RF · R.245 / .750 · 11 HRvs hand .835 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample62H-Score3Jonny DeLuca RF · R.266 / .729 · 11 HRvs hand .687 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample49H-Score4Junior Caminero 3B · R.276 / .884 · 42 HRvs hand .938 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample87H-Score5Chandler Simpson LF · L.306 / .689 · 0 HRvs hand .634 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample42H-Score6Jorge Mateo SS · R.203 / .559 · 5 HRvs hand .569 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample33H-Score7Kenny Piper C · R.222 / .920 · 1 HRvs hand 1.833 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Liam Hicks C · L.284 / .801 · 18 HRvs hand .498 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score9Taylor Walls SS · S.222 / .607 · 2 HRvs hand .519 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample36H-Score
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs RHP Freddy Peralta
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Peralta (BvP)
1Jackson HollidayL2B44.6407.6430-for-2Very small sample
2Pete AlonsoR1B85.88543.9351-for-1Very small sample
3Gunnar HendersonLSS65.71224.7080-for-3Very small sample
4Tyler O'NeillRRF51.67710.5840-for-1Very small sample
5Samuel BasalloLC60.69718.777No MLB historyNo history
6Dylan BeaversLLF54.6809.7150-for-2Very small sample
7Coby MayoR3B68.75824.5670-for-1Very small sample
8Colton CowserLCF54.68713.7342-for-3Very small sample
9Leody TaverasSCF43.6338.7080-for-3Very small sample
1Jackson Holliday 2B · L.229 / .640 · 7 HRvs hand .643 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample44H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.267 / .885 · 43 HRvs hand .935 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample85H-Score3Gunnar Henderson SS · L.225 / .712 · 24 HRvs hand .708 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample65H-Score4Tyler O'Neill RF · R.212 / .677 · 10 HRvs hand .584 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample51H-Score5Samuel Basallo C · L.222 / .697 · 18 HRvs hand .777 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score6Dylan Beavers LF · L.228 / .680 · 9 HRvs hand .715 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample54H-Score7Coby Mayo 3B · R.228 / .758 · 24 HRvs hand .567 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample68H-Score8Colton Cowser CF · L.226 / .687 · 13 HRvs hand .734 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample54H-Score9Leody Taveras CF · S.219 / .633 · 8 HRvs hand .708 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample43H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTBTB·BALBAL
AVG.258 1st.234 28th
OPS.728 8th.710 21st
Home runs169 22nd199 10th
Runs736 12th718 17th
OBP.326 5th.314 21st
SLG.402 14th.396 23rd
PitchingTBTB·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.70vs4.07
TBBAL
WHIP1.14vs1.34
TBBAL
K/98.3vs8.2
TBBAL
HR Allowed201vs169
TBBAL
BullpenTBTB·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.65vs4.23
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.15vs1.36
no league rank
Saves58vs46
TBBAL
ResultsTBTB·BALBAL
+3545th
Run differential
+30712th
98–64 Record79–82
5–5 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Rays (5–5)
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
Baltimore Orioles (4–6)
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
6—7
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Rays?+
Freddy Peralta (5.27 ERA, 5–10) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Trevor Rogers (4.15 ERA, 8–8) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:15 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Where is the game being played?+
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, home of the Baltimore Orioles.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Rays and Orioles performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Orioles 7–6 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Freddy Peralta is at 54; Trevor Rogers is at 61. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.