INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
NYLATYOBERLON
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
FinalFinal lineupsNL East / AL East

Philadelphia Phillies 2, Toronto Blue Jays 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:07 PM ET · Rogers CentreStats updated Jun 9, 11:02 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jun 9, 6:44 PM ET
T-Score65
Philadelphia Phillies
80–63 · 2nd NL East · T-Score 65
2
2–3
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
72–72 · 4th AL East · T-Score 43
3
T-Score43
FINALPHI −102 · TOR −106 · Total 7
PHI −102 · TOR −106 · Total 7Last update Jun 9, 6:44 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherJaysToronto has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Cease leads in P-Score, K/9 and FIP.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Recent formPhilliesPhiladelphia has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.
Team strengthPhilliesPhiladelphia leads 65–43 in T-Score, driven by recent team form.
WeatherLow impact69°F, wind 7 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

PHI
Zack Wheeler RHP
Zack Wheeler
Philadelphia Phillies
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.23
41st
WHIP
1.08
27th
K/9
10.76
16th
BB/9
2.84
81st
P-Score73i
FIP
3.65
HR/9
1.32
139th
OPS/R
0.558
IP
136.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.05
Road ERA3.38
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.99
PiraSoxAthlMarlBrav
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
45
TOR
Dylan Cease RHP
Dylan Cease
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.25
8th
WHIP
1.04
16th
K/9
12.72
3rd
BB/9
3.74
156th
P-Score88i
FIP
2.41
HR/9
0.58
16th
OPS/R
0.525
IP
156.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.91
Road ERA1.54
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.10
AngeBrewDodgSoxAthl
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
73
How the starters differ
·Cease owns the lower FIP, 2.41 to 3.65.
·Cease strikes out 2.0 more batters per nine innings.
·Cease allows the lower home-run rate: 0.58 vs 1.32 per nine.
·Wheeler has produced a quality start in 83% of outings versus 17%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricWheelerCeaseNote
ERA−7554Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.652.41
WAR2.95.4Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Wheeler arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam36%95.2
Sinker16%94.8
Splitter15%87.4
Sweeper14%81.3
Cutter10%90.8
Curveball9%79.9
Cease arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam37%97.1
Slider30%88.9
Changeup12%81.7
Knuckle Curve10%81.9
Sinker8%95.9
Sweeper4%83.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Phillies vs RHP (Dylan Cease)
18th
in MLB
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Jays vs RHP (Zack Wheeler)
22nd
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Toronto Blue JaysProjected — not officialvs RHP Zack Wheeler
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Wheeler (BvP)
1Andrés Giménez—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Brandon Valenzuela—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Charles McAdoo—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Daulton Varsho—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Ernie Clement—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Andrés Giménez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Brandon Valenzuela– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Charles McAdoo– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Daulton Varsho– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Ernie Clement– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffensePHIPHI·TORTOR
AVG.242 19th.248 11th
OPS.712 19th.691 27th
Home runs169 12th135 28th
Runs641 15th580 28th
OBP.312 23rd.309 27th
SLG.400 16th.382 27th
PitchingPHIPHI·TORTOR
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.99vs3.92
PHITOR
WHIP1.28vs1.30
PHITOR
K/99.9vs8.8
PHITOR
HR Allowed167vs149
PHITOR
ResultsPHIPHI·TORTOR
+2367th
Run differential
+13221st
80–63 Record72–72
6–4 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Phillies (6–4)
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
Toronto Blue Jays (4–6)
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Zack Wheeler (2.22 ERA, 5–1) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Jays?+
Dylan Cease (2.91 ERA, 3–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre.
Where is the game being played?+
Rogers Centre, home of the Toronto Blue Jays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
PHI −102 · TOR −106 · Total 7. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 7, opened at 7.5. Lines are informational.
How have the Phillies and Jays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Jays 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Zack Wheeler is at 73; Dylan Cease is at 88. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.