INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / NL West

Cincinnati Reds 5, San Diego Padres 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

9:40 PM ET · Petco ParkStats updated Jun 9, 11:04 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jun 9, 9:13 PM ET
T-Score29
Cincinnati Reds
69–74 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 29
5
5–3
FINAL
San Diego Padres
75–68 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 56
3
T-Score56
FINALCIN −125 · SD +116 · Total 7
CIN −125 · SD +116 · Total 7Last update Jun 9, 9:13 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRedsBurns leads Giolito in P-Score (79 vs 23), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handPadresSan has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Recent formRedsCincinnati has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Team strengthPadresSan leads 56–29 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Plate disciplineRedsCincinnati has drawn 253 walks this season, 43 more than San.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CIN
Chase Burns RHP
Chase Burns
Cincinnati Reds
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.79
21st
WHIP
1.16
58th
K/9
10.59
21st
BB/9
3.10
109th
P-Score79i
FIP
3.14
HR/9
0.93
62nd
OPS/R
0.494
IP
145.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.09
Road ERA3.50
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.57
RaysGianAngeRangPira
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
71
SD
Lucas Giolito RHP
Lucas Giolito
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.16
170th
WHIP
1.85
221st
K/9
5.46
217th
BB/9
6.98
222nd
P-Score23i
FIP
6.06
HR/9
1.21
117th
OPS/R
0.696
IP
29.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA1.00
Road ERA6.97
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.35
RedsPhilNatiAthlMari
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
23
How the starters differ
·Burns strikes out 5.1 more batters per nine innings.
·Burns owns the lower FIP, 3.14 to 6.06.
·Burns allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.16 WHIP compared with 1.85.
·Burns has produced a quality start in 50% of outings versus 0%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricBurnsGiolitoNote
ERA−65129Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.146.06
WAR4.2-0.2Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Burns arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam56%97.6
Slider39%90.1
Changeup5%90.0
Sinker0%97.2
Curveball0%81.9
Giolito arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam42%90.8
Changeup35%79.0
Slider17%83.2
Curveball7%76.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Reds vs RHP (Lucas Giolito)
27th
in MLB
0.694OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs RHP (Chase Burns)
22nd
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →

Team comparison

OffenseCINCIN·SDSD
AVG.231 29th.236 25th
OPS.709 20th.700 25th
Home runs192 4th159 19th
Runs605 22nd602 24th
OBP.310 25th.313 21st
SLG.399 20th.387 26th
PitchingCINCIN·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.68vs3.91
CINSD
WHIP1.43vs1.29
CINSD
K/98.2vs8.3
CINSD
HR Allowed182vs156
CINSD
ResultsCINCIN·SDSD
+9226th
Run differential
+17317th
69–74 Record75–68
7–3 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Cincinnati Reds (7–3)
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
San Diego Padres (5–5)
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Reds?+
Chase Burns (2.18 ERA, 7–1) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Lucas Giolito (4.35 ERA, 2–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
9:40 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
CIN −125 · SD +116 · Total 7. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 7, opened at 7.5. Lines are informational.
How have the Reds and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Chase Burns is at 79; Lucas Giolito is at 23. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.