INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
FinalFinal lineupsAL East

Boston Red Sox 3, Tampa Bay Rays 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:40 PM ET · Tropicana FieldStats updated Jun 9, 11:01 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jun 9, 6:06 PM ET
T-Score78
Boston Red Sox
79–65 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 78
3
3–4
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
85–58 · 1st AL East · T-Score 71
4
T-Score71
FINALBOS −115 · TB +106 · Total 7.5
BOS −115 · TB +106 · Total 7.5Last update Jun 9, 6:06 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxTolle leads Martinez in P-Score (78 vs 60), K/9 and FIP.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .023 difference in OPS.
Recent formRaysTampa has won 5 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Plate disciplineRaysTampa has drawn 237 walks this season, 49 more than Boston.
WeatherLow impactWeather conditions are expected to have little effect on the normal scoring environment.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

BOS
Payton Tolle LHP
Payton Tolle
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.15
36th
WHIP
1.08
25th
K/9
10.45
25th
BB/9
2.43
46th
P-Score78i
FIP
3.10
HR/9
0.99
78th
OPS/R
0.628
IP
137.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.88
Road ERA2.50
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.05
BravRaysTigeJaysYank
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
47
TB
Nick Martinez RHP
Nick Martinez
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.04
31st
WHIP
1.10
32nd
K/9
5.34
220th
BB/9
1.35
1st
P-Score60i
FIP
3.96
HR/9
1.07
96th
OPS/R
0.710
IP
160.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.92
Road ERA2.15
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.10
RedsPiraYankTwinBrew
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
71
How the starters differ
·Tolle strikes out 5.1 more batters per nine innings.
·Tolle owns the lower FIP, 3.10 to 3.96.
·Martinez walks 1.1 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Tolle enters with a 2.50 road ERA; Martinez owns a 3.92 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricTolleMartinezNote
ERA−7473Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.103.96
WAR3.72.6Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Tolle arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam45%96.1
Sinker23%95.0
Cutter19%88.6
Curveball9%83.0
Changeup3%88.6
Martinez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker31%92.4
Changeup27%78.2
Cutter21%89.2
Four-seam13%92.7
Curveball5%80.0
Slider4%85.3

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Sox vs RHP (Nick Martinez)
17th
in MLB
0.714OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Rays vs LHP (Payton Tolle)
20th
in MLB
0.691OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →

Team comparison

OffenseBOSBOS·TBTB
AVG.248 8th.260 1st
OPS.727 8th.731 6th
Home runs149 23rd149 24th
Runs642 14th647 11th
OBP.322 9th.328 5th
SLG.405 11th.403 13th
PitchingBOSBOS·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.60vs3.82
BOSTB
WHIP1.23vs1.15
BOSTB
K/98.7vs8.2
BOSTB
HR Allowed141vs181
BOSTB
ResultsBOSBOS·TBTB
+2506th
Run differential
+19711th
79–65 Record85–58
2–8 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Boston Red Sox (2–8)
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
Tampa Bay Rays (5–5)
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
10—3
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Sox?+
Payton Tolle (2.70 ERA, 3–3) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Nick Martinez (2.43 ERA, 6–2) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
BOS −115 · TB +106 · Total 7.5. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 7.5. Lines are informational.
How have the Sox and Rays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Rays 3–10 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Payton Tolle is at 78; Nick Martinez is at 60. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.