Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers (2026-08-07). Zebby Matthews vs Shane Drohan at American Family Field.

Starters — Matthews has a 5.22 ERA and 1.31 WHIP across 81 innings, with 7.67 K/9, 2.89 BB/9, and a high 1.78 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 5 IP, 3 ER, 10 K, 2 BB; 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 K, 3 BB; and 3 IP, 8 ER, 4 K, 3 BB. The overall trend is down, and the home-run rate remains a clear pressure point. Drohan brings a 3.48 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 88 innings, with 9.1 K/9, 2.45 BB/9, and just 0.72 HR/9. His last three starts were 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 1 BB; 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 K, 2 BB; and 6 IP, 3 ER, 9 K, 1 BB. The trend is up, supported by stronger swing-and-miss numbers and better contact management.

Teams — Minnesota enters with a .722 OPS, 539 runs scored, a .243 team average, and a pitching staff carrying a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. The Twins are 5-5 over their last 10, which fits a profile of a fairly average recent run but with more vulnerability on the mound than at the plate. Milwaukee has a .734 OPS, 571 runs scored, a .253 average, and a much stronger 3.44 team ERA with a 1.16 WHIP. The Brewers are 6-4 in their last 10 and hold the cleaner team-wide statistical edge on both offense and pitching efficiency.