Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees

Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees (2026-08-07). Tyler Mahle vs Max Fried at Yankee Stadium.

Starters — Mahle enters with a 5.13 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and 94.2 innings, with 8.46 K/9, 3.52 BB/9, and 1.33 HR/9. His last three starts were 5.2 IP and 5 ER with 9 strikeouts, 6 IP and 0 ER, and 5 IP and 3 ER. The form looks flat overall, with swing-and-miss intact but run prevention still inconsistent. Fried has a 3.12 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 75 innings, with 8.16 K/9, 2.76 BB/9, and an elite 0.12 HR/9. His last three starts were 5.1 IP and 1 ER with 7 strikeouts, 3 IP and 3 ER, and 5 IP and 0 ER with 7 strikeouts. His trend is also flat, but the baseline profile is much steadier because of the WHIP control and extreme home-run suppression.

Teams — Atlanta brings the stronger offensive line on these numbers, posting a .737 OPS and 568 runs, while also carrying a .250 team average. The Braves have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, so the lineup comes in with clear recent momentum. On the pitching side, Atlanta owns a 3.63 team ERA and 1.24 WHIP, which is solid but not as sharp as New York’s staff marks. The Yankees have a .722 OPS, 522 runs, and a .231 team average, so the offense has been less productive overall. Their pitching staff has been a strength, with a 3.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, though the club is just 5-5 in its last 10 games.