Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
↓ ERA trending down lately
↑ ERA trending up lately
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (2026-08-07). Roki Sasaki vs Merrill Kelly at Chase Field.
Starters — Sasaki has a 4.64 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over 99.0 innings, with 9.18 K/9, 3.55 BB/9, and 1.82 HR/9. His last three starts were strong: 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 3 BB; 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 9 K, 2 BB; and 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 1 BB. The recent form points to a downward trend in run prevention after a shakier full-season profile, though the home run rate remains a concern. Kelly carries a 5.04 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 114.1 innings, with 5.98 K/9, 3.62 BB/9, and 1.81 HR/9. His last three were mixed: 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 5 K, 4 BB; 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 1 BB; and 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 1 BB. His trend is up overall, but the most recent outing showed the volatility tied to lower strikeout volume and similar long-ball risk.
Teams — Los Angeles brings the stronger offensive baseline with a .771 OPS, .262 average, and 584 runs scored. The Dodgers also own the better season-long pitching staff numbers at a 3.74 team ERA and 1.16 WHIP, but they enter on a 2-8 skid, which matters for current form. Arizona has a .707 OPS, .243 average, and 528 runs, so the lineup has been less productive over the full sample. The Diamondbacks’ staff sits at a 4.21 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, but the club is 6-4 over its last 10, suggesting better recent momentum than Los Angeles.
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