New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (2026-08-10). Christian Scott vs Bryce Elder at Truist Park.
Starters — Christian Scott brings a 3.15 ERA and 1.26 WHIP across 74.1 innings, with strong bat-missing ability at 11.14 K/9. His 3.87 BB/9 shows some control risk, but the 0.85 HR/9 has helped limit damage. Over his last three starts, Scott has allowed 7 earned runs in 14.2 innings with 20 strikeouts and 6 walks. He went 5 innings with 3 earned runs and 7 strikeouts on August 5, followed by a sharper 6-inning, 1-earned-run outing on July 29. The recent trend is up. Bryce Elder has a 3.69 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 126.2 innings, with a lower strikeout profile at 7.39 K/9 and better control at 2.98 BB/9. His 1.35 HR/9 is the main concern. Elder has been efficient lately, allowing just 3 earned runs over his last 18 innings. In those three starts, he worked 7 innings with 1 earned run on August 5, 6 innings with 1 earned run on July 31, and 5 innings with 1 earned run on July 25. The recent trend is down.
Teams — New York enters with a .693 OPS, .235 average, and 499 runs scored. The Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, and they are 6-4 over the last 10 games. Atlanta has been stronger on both sides, posting a .732 OPS, .249 average, and 576 runs. The Braves also hold the better run prevention profile with a 3.60 team ERA and 1.24 WHIP, and they are 8-2 in their last 10. From a betting perspective, Atlanta shows the steadier full-team baseline, while New York’s edge comes more from Scott’s strikeout upside.
A.J. Ewing has done major damage in a tiny sample against Bryce Elder, going 3-for-3 with a 3.333 OPS. Francisco Lindor has the deepest track record here and has thrived, batting .462 in 13 at-bats with a 1.577 OPS, while Bo Bichette is at .333 with a .666 OPS in six at-bats. Carson Benge, Jared Young, and Brett Baty have also had some success in limited looks, but Marcus Semien and Francisco Alvarez are both hitless in two at-bats with a .000 OPS. Jorge Polanco has no MLB history vs Elder.
Michael Harris II stands out clearly against Christian Scott, going 3-for-3 with a 2.000 OPS, and Jim Jarvis is 1-for-2 with a 1.500 OPS. The rest of Atlanta’s returning history is much thinner and mostly unproductive: Drake Baldwin is hitless in two at-bats with a .000 OPS, Ronald Acuña Jr. is hitless in three at-bats with a .000 OPS, and Ozzie Albies is also hitless in three at-bats with a .000 OPS. Matt Olson is hitless in four at-bats with a .200 OPS, Austin Riley is hitless in three at-bats with a .400 OPS, and Mauricio Dubón and Sean Murphy have no MLB history vs Scott.
The away side brings far more established and successful history into this matchup, especially with Lindor and several others already showing solid results against Elder. Atlanta has a couple of bright spots, but overall far fewer hitters have solved Scott so far.
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