INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL Central

Miami Marlins 5, St. Louis Cardinals 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:15 PM ET · Busch StadiumStats updated Jun 27, 6:45 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score51
Miami Marlins
79–81 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 51
5
5–1
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
77–83 · 4th NL Central · T-Score 43
1
T-Score43
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCardinalsPallante owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handMarlinsMiami has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Recent formMarlinsMiami has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
WeatherLow impact81°F, wind 5 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

MIA
Ryan Gusto RHP
Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.09
106th
WHIP
1.44
168th
K/9
7.57
135th
BB/9
2.86
83rd
P-Score45i
FIP
4.28
HR/9
1.13
98th
OPS/R
0.793
IP
88.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.91
Road ERA4.42
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.19
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
80
STL
Andre Pallante RHP
Andre Pallante
St. Louis Cardinals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.61
60th
WHIP
1.24
89th
K/9
6.08
205th
BB/9
2.81
76th
P-Score57i
FIP
3.71
HR/9
0.63
15th
OPS/R
0.644
IP
157.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.41
Road ERA2.65
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.26
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
88
How the starters differ
·Pallante allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.24 WHIP compared with 1.44.
·Gusto owns a 7.6 K/9 compared with Pallante's 6.1.
·Pallante allows the lower home-run rate: 0.63 vs 1.13 per nine.
·Pallante owns the lower FIP, 3.71 to 4.28.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricGustoPallanteNote
ERA−9788Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.283.71
WAR0.92.7Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Gusto arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam29%94.7
Changeup14%87.2
Sweeper13%81.7
Cutter12%89.3
Sinker12%93.1
Slider12%85.4
Curveball9%78.5
Pallante arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam34%95.2
Slider29%87.8
Knuckle Curve17%78.6
Sinker17%95.4
Splitter3%88.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Marlins vs RHP (Andre Pallante)
7th
in MLB
0.742OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cardinals vs RHP (Ryan Gusto)
29th
in MLB
0.688OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Andre Pallante
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Pallante (BvP)
1Xavier Edwards—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Otto Lopez—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Kyle Stowers—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Heriberto Hernández—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Owen Caissie—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Jakob Marsee—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Griffin Conine—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Javier Sanoja—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Joe Mack—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Xavier Edwards– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Otto Lopez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Kyle Stowers– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Heriberto Hernández– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Owen Caissie– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Jakob Marsee– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Griffin Conine– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Javier Sanoja– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Joe Mack– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
St. Louis CardinalsOfficial lineupvs RHP Ryan Gusto
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gusto (BvP)
1JJ Wetherholt—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Iván Herrera—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Alec Burleson—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Jordan Walker—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Lars Nootbaar—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Masyn Winn—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Bryan Torres—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Jimmy Crooks—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Nathan Church—–––No MLB historyNo history
1JJ Wetherholt– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Iván Herrera– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Alec Burleson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Jordan Walker– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Lars Nootbaar– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Masyn Winn– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Bryan Torres– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Jimmy Crooks– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Nathan Church– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMIAMIA·STLSTL
AVG.249 7th.241 18th
OPS.727 8th.694 26th
Home runs165 24th165 23rd
Runs707 17th714 15th
OBP.327 5th.314 19th
SLG.400 16th.380 27th
PitchingMIAMIA·STLSTL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.08vs4.26
MIASTL
WHIP1.28vs1.35
MIASTL
K/98.3vs8.0
MIASTL
HR Allowed168vs156
MIASTL
ResultsMIAMIA·STLSTL
+26014th
Run differential
+21919th
79–81 Record77–83
6–4 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Miami Marlins (6–4)
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
St. Louis Cardinals (5–5)
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Ryan Gusto (6.00 ERA, 0–2) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Andre Pallante (3.59 ERA, 9–4) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:15 PM ET at Busch Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Busch Stadium, home of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Marlins and Cardinals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cardinals 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ryan Gusto is at 45; Andre Pallante is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.