INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL West / AL Central

Colorado Rockies 8, Minnesota Twins 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:10 PM ET · Target FieldStats updated Jun 27, 6:45 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score24
Colorado Rockies
57–102 · 5th NL West · T-Score 24
8
8–5
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
75–84 · 3rd AL Central · T-Score 48
5
T-Score48
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherTwinsThe starters are close overall, but Paredes owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .018 difference in OPS.
Recent formEvenBoth clubs are 1–4 in their last five, with only a 8-run difference in run differential.
Team strengthTwinsMinnesota leads 48–24 in T-Score.
WeatherLow impact71°F, wind 2 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

COL
Michael Lorenzen RHP
Michael Lorenzen
Colorado Rockies
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
7.21
222nd
WHIP
1.88
223rd
K/9
6.36
192nd
BB/9
3.82
158th
P-Score31i
FIP
5.38
HR/9
1.63
187th
OPS/R
0.815
IP
127.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA8.77
Road ERA5.72
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.60
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
91
MIN
Mike Paredes RHP
Mike Paredes
Minnesota Twins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.72
151st
WHIP
1.43
165th
K/9
4.98
221st
BB/9
3.41
133rd
P-Score32i
FIP
5.67
HR/9
1.57
177th
OPS/R
0.778
IP
34.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA6.00
Road ERA4.26
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.72
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
27
How the starters differ
·Paredes allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.43 WHIP compared with 1.88.
·Paredes enters with a 4.72 ERA compared with Lorenzen's 7.21.
·Lorenzen owns a 6.4 K/9 compared with Paredes's 5.0.
·Paredes averages 1.9 more innings per start.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricLorenzenParedesNote
ERA−149113Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP5.385.67
WAR0.3-0.3Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Lorenzen arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Changeup20%84.6
Sinker20%93.4
Four-seam19%94.0
Cutter15%90.1
Curveball11%82.7
Sweeper8%82.7
Slider8%86.3
Paredes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam37%93.0
Changeup26%87.7
Sweeper22%79.2
Cutter15%87.4

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Rockies vs RHP (Mike Paredes)
4th
in MLB
0.754OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Twins vs RHP (Michael Lorenzen)
8th
in MLB
0.736OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Colorado RockiesOfficial lineupvs RHP Mike Paredes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Paredes (BvP)
1Jake McCarthy—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Mickey Moniak—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Hunter Goodman—–––No MLB historyNo history
4TJ Rumfield—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Willi Castro—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Tyler Freeman—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Troy Johnston—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Kyle Karros—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Brett Sullivan—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Jake McCarthy– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Mickey Moniak– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Hunter Goodman– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4TJ Rumfield– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Willi Castro– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Tyler Freeman– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Troy Johnston– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Kyle Karros– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Brett Sullivan– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Minnesota TwinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Michael Lorenzen
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Lorenzen (BvP)
1Trevor Larnach—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Byron Buxton—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Kody Clemens—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Josh Bell—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Victor Caratini—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Royce Lewis—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Brooks Lee—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Tristan Gray—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Luke Keaschall—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Trevor Larnach– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Byron Buxton– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Kody Clemens– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Josh Bell– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Victor Caratini– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Royce Lewis– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Brooks Lee– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Tristan Gray– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Luke Keaschall– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCOLCOL·MINMIN
AVG.254 4th.244 16th
OPS.740 5th.718 17th
Home runs175 20th184 12th
Runs740 7th721 10th
OBP.323 7th.316 16th
SLG.417 4th.402 14th
PitchingCOLCOL·MINMIN
1stMLB rank30th
ERA5.59vs4.57
COLMIN
WHIP1.53vs1.36
COLMIN
K/97.0vs8.7
COLMIN
HR Allowed220vs181
COLMIN
ResultsCOLCOL·MINMIN
+11828th
Run differential
+20121st
57–102 Record75–84
4–6 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Colorado Rockies (4–6)
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
Minnesota Twins (4–6)
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—1
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Rockies?+
Michael Lorenzen (7.11 ERA, 2–9) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Twins?+
Mike Paredes (4.05 ERA, 0–0) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Target Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Target Field, home of the Minnesota Twins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Rockies and Twins performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Twins 1–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Michael Lorenzen is at 31; Mike Paredes is at 32. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.