INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL Central

Miami Marlins 1, St. Louis Cardinals 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

2:15 PM ET · Busch StadiumStats updated Jun 28, 2:00 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score51
Miami Marlins
79–82 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 51
1
1–2
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
77–84 · 4th NL Central · T-Score 42
2
T-Score42
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCardinalsLeahy holds a modest edge in P-Score and K/9, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handMarlinsMiami owns a .742 OPS vs RHP, 7th in MLB; St. ranks 29th vs RHP.
Recent formMarlinsMiami has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.
WeatherLow impact81°F, wind 5 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

MIA
Tyler Phillips RHP
Tyler Phillips
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.34
44th
WHIP
1.33
122nd
K/9
7.18
155th
BB/9
3.98
176th
P-Score46i
FIP
4.63
HR/9
1.21
114th
OPS/R
0.657
IP
126.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.49
Road ERA4.83
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
91
STL
Kyle Leahy RHP
Kyle Leahy
St. Louis Cardinals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.66
67th
WHIP
1.34
124th
K/9
8.49
94th
BB/9
2.64
65th
P-Score54i
FIP
3.64
HR/9
0.96
63rd
OPS/R
0.618
IP
140.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.41
Road ERA3.94
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.63
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
90
How the starters differ
·Leahy owns the lower FIP, 3.64 to 4.63.
·Leahy strikes out 1.3 more batters per nine innings.
·Leahy walks 1.3 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Phillips averages 6.5 more innings per start.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricPhillipsLeahyNote
ERA−8189Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.633.64
WAR0.42.4Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Phillips arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker26%95.5
Sweeper24%84.2
Splitter23%87.0
Curveball17%83.5
Four-seam8%96.1
Slider1%87.1
Leahy arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam26%94.2
Curveball16%83.0
Slider16%89.4
Changeup15%88.6
Sweeper14%84.8
Sinker13%94.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Marlins vs RHP (Kyle Leahy)
7th
in MLB
0.742OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cardinals vs RHP (Tyler Phillips)
29th
in MLB
0.688OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Kyle Leahy
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Leahy (BvP)
1Jakob Marsee—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Otto Lopez—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Kyle Stowers—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Xavier Edwards—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Heriberto Hernández—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Griffin Conine—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Owen Caissie—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Graham Pauley—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Brian Navarreto—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Jakob Marsee– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Otto Lopez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Kyle Stowers– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Xavier Edwards– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Heriberto Hernández– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Griffin Conine– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Owen Caissie– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Graham Pauley– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Brian Navarreto– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
St. Louis CardinalsOfficial lineupvs RHP Tyler Phillips
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Phillips (BvP)
1JJ Wetherholt—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Iván Herrera—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Alec Burleson—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Lars Nootbaar—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Masyn Winn—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Bryan Torres—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Blaze Jordan—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Nathan Church—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Pedro Pagés—–––No MLB historyNo history
1JJ Wetherholt– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Iván Herrera– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Alec Burleson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Lars Nootbaar– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Masyn Winn– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Bryan Torres– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Blaze Jordan– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Nathan Church– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Pedro Pagés– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMIAMIA·STLSTL
AVG.249 7th.240 21st
OPS.726 10th.692 27th
Home runs166 25th166 23rd
Runs710 18th716 16th
OBP.326 6th.313 21st
SLG.400 18th.379 28th
PitchingMIAMIA·STLSTL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.10vs4.25
MIASTL
WHIP1.28vs1.36
MIASTL
K/98.3vs8.0
MIASTL
HR Allowed170vs157
MIASTL
ResultsMIAMIA·STLSTL
+26413th
Run differential
+22319th
79–82 Record77–84
6–4 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Miami Marlins (6–4)
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
St. Louis Cardinals (5–5)
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Tyler Phillips (3.09 ERA, 1–2) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Kyle Leahy (4.24 ERA, 5–4) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:15 PM ET at Busch Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Busch Stadium, home of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Marlins and Cardinals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cardinals 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Tyler Phillips is at 46; Kyle Leahy is at 54. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.