Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles (2026-06-27). Foster Griffin vs Brandon Young at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Foster Griffin, the Nationals' left-hander, enters this contest with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 91.1 innings pitched this season, demonstrating strong control with a 2.27 BB/9 and an 8.77 K/9. His recent trend shows an upward movement in ERA, and his last five starts include a 3.38 ERA over 6 innings against Atlanta, following a 4-run outing against Pittsburgh. Brandon Young, the Orioles' right-hander, has a 3.07 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP across 67.1 innings, with a 3.34 BB/9 and a 6.55 K/9, indicating less strikeout potential and more walks than Griffin. Young's ERA trend is currently down, and he has maintained a stable alternating pattern in his recent outings, including a 2-run performance over 5.1 innings against the Yankees in his last start.

The Nationals' offense has been more productive, scoring 439 runs with a .739 OPS, including 109 home runs, compared to the Orioles' 385 runs and .722 OPS with 98 home runs. On the pitching side, the Orioles hold an advantage with a team ERA of 4.39 and a 1.37 WHIP, while the Nationals' team ERA stands at 4.74 with a 1.40 WHIP. The Nationals have shown a mixed recent form with a 4-6 record in their last ten games, while the Orioles also have a 4-6 record over their last ten.

Recent head-to-head matchups from 2025 show the Nationals having a significant edge, winning five of the last six games against the Orioles, with several high-scoring affairs including a 10-4 and 10-6 victory. The total line for this game is set at 9.0, which aligns with the Nationals' recent offensive output in these rivalry games but potentially conflicts with the solid season ERAs of both starting pitchers. The combined offensive capabilities of both teams, coupled with the Nationals' historical success in this series, suggest a potential for runs despite the starters' season-long effectiveness.