Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets (2026-07-24). Roki Sasaki vs Sean Manaea at Citi Field.

Starters — Sasaki has a 4.98 ERA and 1.34 WHIP across 86.2 innings, with 8.83 K/9, 3.53 BB/9, and 1.97 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 5.2 innings with 0 earned runs, 6 innings with 3 earned runs, and 3 innings with 6 earned runs. The strikeout rate remains solid, but the home run rate is a clear risk point, and the listed trend is down. Manaea carries a 4.74 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over 79.2 innings, with 9.15 K/9, 2.94 BB/9, and 1.36 HR/9. In his last three starts, he went 4.2 innings with 4 earned runs, 7 innings with 2 earned runs, and 5 innings with 3 earned runs. He has the better strikeout-to-walk profile of the two, though his recent form is also tagged as down.

Teams — Los Angeles brings the stronger offensive profile with a .773 OPS and 535 runs scored, while also backing that up with a 3.55 team ERA and 1.14 team WHIP. The Dodgers are only 5-5 over their last 10, but the season-long production on both sides of the ball remains clearly above average. New York has a .687 OPS and 419 runs scored, with a 4.23 team ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10, and their overall numbers suggest a thinner margin for error, especially compared with the Dodgers’ deeper run prevention metrics.