Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins

Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins (2026-08-13). Aaron Nola vs Taj Bradley at Field of Dreams.

Starters — Nola enters with a 5.47 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and 125 innings, alongside 9.29 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, and 2.09 HR/9. His last three starts were sharper: 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 8 K, 2 BB; 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 K, 2 BB; and 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 3 BB. The recent form points to a downward trend in run prevention despite the season-long damage from home runs. Bradley has a 3.76 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 131.2 innings with 10.12 K/9, 3.76 BB/9, and 1.16 HR/9. In his last three starts, he logged 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 K, 2 BB; 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 2 K, 4 BB; and 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 10 K, 3 BB. His trend is up, supported by swing-and-miss ability and better home-run control than Nola.

Teams — Philadelphia carries a .706 OPS, 535 runs, a 4.20 team ERA, and a 1.30 WHIP, with a 5-5 mark over its last 10 games. The Phillies profile as more pitching-efficient than explosive at the plate, and their staff numbers are clearly better than Minnesota’s. The Twins bring a .725 OPS, 571 runs, a 4.60 team ERA, and a 1.38 WHIP, and they are 4-6 in their last 10. Minnesota has been the better run-scoring lineup by the raw season numbers, but its pitching staff has allowed more traffic and posted weaker run prevention overall.