INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / NL East

Boston Red Sox 0, Miami Marlins 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:40 PM ET · loanDepot parkGame-day snapshot Aug 26, 9:25 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score55
Boston Red Sox
87–75 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 55
0
0–4
FINAL
Miami Marlins
80–82 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 54
4
T-Score54
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxGray owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handMarlinsMiami has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupMarlinsMiami's official lineup includes 5 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formSoxBoston has won 8 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Starting pitchers

BOS
Sonny Gray RHP
Sonny Gray
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.79
16th
WHIP
1.16
54th
K/9
7.98
123rd
BB/9
2.34
49th
P-Score68i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.97
39th
OPS/R
–
IP
138.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.81
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
MIA
Ryan Gusto RHP
Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.37
109th
WHIP
1.34
169th
K/9
7.96
139th
BB/9
2.34
86th
P-Score44i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.25
98th
OPS/R
–
IP
57.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.18
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Gray enters with a 2.79 ERA compared with Gusto's 4.37.
·Gray allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.16 WHIP compared with 1.34.
·Gray has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 20%.
·Gray allows the lower home-run rate: 0.97 vs 1.25 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricGrayGustoNote
Career vs opponent– ERA, 7 GS– ERA, 1 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Gray arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker22%92.0
Sweeper20%84.8
Cutter19%88.3
Four-seam17%91.5
Curveball16%79.6
Changeup6%86.2
Slow Curve0%74.1
Gusto arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam29%94.7
Changeup14%87.2
Sweeper13%81.7
Cutter12%89.3
Sinker12%93.1
Slider12%85.4
Curveball9%78.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Sox vs RHP (Ryan Gusto)
22nd
in MLB
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Marlins vs RHP (Sonny Gray)
7th
in MLB
0.743OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Boston Red SoxOfficial lineupvs RHP Ryan Gusto
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gusto (BvP)
1Nick SogardS2B53.7275.693No MLB historyNo history
2Ceddanne RafaelaRCF59.76516.743No MLB historyNo history
3Wilyer AbreuLRF73.77324.735No MLB historyNo history
4Caleb DurbinR3B52.71013.716No MLB historyNo history
5Mickey GasperSDH69.82310.902No MLB historyNo history
6Andruw MonasterioRSS45.6666.602No MLB historyNo history
7Jarren DuranLLF51.62720.633No MLB historyNo history
8Anthony SeiglerS2B49.7273.784No MLB historyNo history
9Connor WongRC38.6564.631No MLB historyNo history
1Nick Sogard 2B · S.255 / .727 · 5 HRvs hand .693 · No MLB history · No history53H-Score2Ceddanne Rafaela CF · R.285 / .765 · 16 HRvs hand .743 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score3Wilyer Abreu RF · L.248 / .773 · 24 HRvs hand .735 · No MLB history · No history73H-Score4Caleb Durbin 3B · R.248 / .710 · 13 HRvs hand .716 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score5Mickey Gasper DH · S.251 / .823 · 10 HRvs hand .902 · No MLB history · No history69H-Score6Andruw Monasterio SS · R.233 / .666 · 6 HRvs hand .602 · No MLB history · No history45H-Score7Jarren Duran LF · L.207 / .627 · 20 HRvs hand .633 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score8Anthony Seigler 2B · S.247 / .727 · 3 HRvs hand .784 · No MLB history · No history49H-Score9Connor Wong C · R.233 / .656 · 4 HRvs hand .631 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Sonny Gray
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gray (BvP)
1Kyle StowersL1B69.79021.8211-for-2Very small sample
2Griffin ConineLRF72.84619.922No MLB historyNo history
3Heriberto HernándezRLF73.75525.733No MLB historyNo history
4Xavier EdwardsS2B57.7316.7381-for-3Very small sample
5Jakob MarseeLCF55.70711.721No MLB historyNo history
6Otto LopezRSS70.78611.7650-for-2Very small sample
7Owen CaissieLRF58.70014.716No MLB historyNo history
8Joe MackLC55.68514.730No MLB historyNo history
9Javier SanojaR3B63.79111.7531-for-2Very small sample
1Kyle Stowers 1B · L.239 / .790 · 21 HRvs hand .821 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample69H-Score2Griffin Conine RF · L.264 / .846 · 19 HRvs hand .922 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score3Heriberto Hernández LF · R.228 / .755 · 25 HRvs hand .733 · No MLB history · No history73H-Score4Xavier Edwards 2B · S.280 / .731 · 6 HRvs hand .738 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample57H-Score5Jakob Marsee CF · L.231 / .707 · 11 HRvs hand .721 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score6Otto Lopez SS · R.305 / .786 · 11 HRvs hand .765 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample70H-Score7Owen Caissie RF · L.220 / .700 · 14 HRvs hand .716 · No MLB history · No history58H-Score8Joe Mack C · L.234 / .685 · 14 HRvs hand .730 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score9Javier Sanoja 3B · R.295 / .791 · 11 HRvs hand .753 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample63H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseBOSBOS·MIAMIA
AVG.245 15th.249 7th
OPS.717 19th.726 9th
Home runs163 26th168 23rd
Runs689 23rd715 18th
OBP.319 12th.326 5th
SLG.398 20th.400 17th
PitchingBOSBOS·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.54vs4.09
BOSMIA
WHIP1.23vs1.28
BOSMIA
K/98.7vs8.3
BOSMIA
HR Allowed153vs171
BOSMIA
BullpenBOSBOS·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.39vs3.67
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.21vs1.23
no league rank
Saves46vs35
BOSMIA
ResultsBOSBOS·MIAMIA
+33211th
Run differential
+30515th
87–75 Record80–82
8–2 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Boston Red Sox (8–2)
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
Miami Marlins (5–5)
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—1
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Sox?+
Sonny Gray (2.79 ERA, 16–3) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Ryan Gusto (4.37 ERA, 0–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at loanDepot park.
Where is the game being played?+
loanDepot park, home of the Miami Marlins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Sox and Marlins performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Marlins 1–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Sonny Gray is at 68; Ryan Gusto is at 44. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.