INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East

Baltimore Orioles 10, Tampa Bay Rays 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

12:15 PM ET · Tropicana FieldGame-day snapshot Aug 16, 3:20 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Sep 30, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score49
Baltimore Orioles
79–82 · 4th AL East · T-Score 49
10
10–2
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 68
2
T-Score68
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherOriolesBaltimore has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Rogers leads in P-Score, WHIP and last-5 ERA.
Offense vs handOriolesBaltimore owns a .715 OPS vs RHP, 18th in MLB; Tampa ranks 25th vs LHP.
LineupRaysTampa's official lineup includes 6 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenRaysTampa owns a 3.50 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Baltimore's 4.22.
Recent formRaysTampa has been the better recent team, at 8–2 over the last 10.

Starting pitchers

BAL
Trevor Rogers LHP
Trevor Rogers
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.21
106th
WHIP
1.25
66th
K/9
7.67
100th
BB/9
2.56
24th
P-Score61i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.90
77th
OPS/R
–
IP
119.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.38
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
TB
Freddy Peralta RHP
Freddy Peralta
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.33
131st
WHIP
1.50
126th
K/9
8.83
102nd
BB/9
3.65
132nd
P-Score53i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.46
119th
OPS/R
–
IP
123.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.55
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Rogers allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.25 WHIP compared with 1.50.
·Rogers allows the lower home-run rate: 0.90 vs 1.46 per nine.
·Rogers enters with a 4.21 ERA compared with Peralta's 5.33.
·Peralta strikes out 1.2 more batters per nine innings.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Rogers arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%93.8
Changeup21%87.0
Sweeper14%78.1
Sinker10%93.4
Cutter8%83.1
Peralta arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam53%94.3
Changeup23%87.3
Curveball13%79.4
Sweeper6%82.3
Slider4%83.1
Slow Curve1%74.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Orioles vs RHP (Freddy Peralta)
18th
in MLB
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Rays vs LHP (Trevor Rogers)
25th
in MLB
0.679OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs RHP Freddy Peralta
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Peralta (BvP)
1Jackson HollidayL2B44.6407.6430-for-2Very small sample
2Pete AlonsoR1B86.88543.9351-for-1Very small sample
3Gunnar HendersonLSS65.71524.7120-for-3Very small sample
4Christian Encarnacion-StrandR3B64.83811.7430-for-2Very small sample
5Dylan BeaversLLF54.6809.7150-for-2Very small sample
6Leody TaverasSCF43.6338.7080-for-3Very small sample
7Colton CowserLCF53.68713.7342-for-3Very small sample
8Coby MayoR3B68.75824.5670-for-1Very small sample
9Yohel PozoRC—.5751.643No MLB historyNo history
1Jackson Holliday 2B · L.229 / .640 · 7 HRvs hand .643 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample44H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.267 / .885 · 43 HRvs hand .935 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample86H-Score3Gunnar Henderson SS · L.226 / .715 · 24 HRvs hand .712 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample65H-Score4Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B · R.277 / .838 · 11 HRvs hand .743 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample64H-Score5Dylan Beavers LF · L.228 / .680 · 9 HRvs hand .715 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample54H-Score6Leody Taveras CF · S.219 / .633 · 8 HRvs hand .708 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample43H-Score7Colton Cowser CF · L.226 / .687 · 13 HRvs hand .734 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample53H-Score8Coby Mayo 3B · R.228 / .758 · 24 HRvs hand .567 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample68H-Score9Yohel Pozo C · R.250 / .575 · 1 HRvs hand .643 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs LHP Trevor Rogers
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Rogers (BvP)
1Yandy DíazRDH79.80522.8632-for-2Very small sample
2Jonathan ArandaL1B76.79222.6592-for-5Very small sample
3Junior CamineroR3B87.88442.9382-for-5Very small sample
4Ryan ViladeRRF62.75011.8351-for-1Very small sample
5Chandler SimpsonLLF42.6890.6341-for-5Very small sample
6Jonny DeLucaRRF50.72911.6871-for-2Very small sample
7Jorge MateoRSS33.5595.5690-for-2Very small sample
8Nick FortesRC43.6806.6440-for-2Very small sample
9Taylor WallsSSS36.6072.5190-for-2Very small sample
1Yandy Díaz DH · R.293 / .805 · 22 HRvs hand .863 · 2-for-2 · Very small sample79H-Score2Jonathan Aranda 1B · L.274 / .792 · 22 HRvs hand .659 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample76H-Score3Junior Caminero 3B · R.276 / .884 · 42 HRvs hand .938 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample87H-Score4Ryan Vilade RF · R.245 / .750 · 11 HRvs hand .835 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample62H-Score5Chandler Simpson LF · L.306 / .689 · 0 HRvs hand .634 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample42H-Score6Jonny DeLuca RF · R.266 / .729 · 11 HRvs hand .687 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample50H-Score7Jorge Mateo SS · R.203 / .559 · 5 HRvs hand .569 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample33H-Score8Nick Fortes C · R.258 / .680 · 6 HRvs hand .644 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample43H-Score9Taylor Walls SS · S.222 / .607 · 2 HRvs hand .519 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample36H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseBALBAL·TBTB
AVG.234 28th.258 1st
OPS.710 21st.728 8th
Home runs199 10th169 22nd
Runs718 17th736 12th
OBP.314 20th.326 5th
SLG.396 22nd.402 13th
PitchingBALBAL·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.08vs3.70
BALTB
WHIP1.34vs1.14
BALTB
K/98.2vs8.3
BALTB
HR Allowed169vs201
BALTB
BullpenBALBAL·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.22vs3.50
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.36vs1.12
no league rank
Saves46vs58
BALTB
ResultsBALBAL·TBTB
+29212th
Run differential
+3396th
79–82 Record98–64
5–5 Last 108–2
Last 10 games
Baltimore Orioles (5–5)
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
Tampa Bay Rays (8–2)
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
7—6
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Trevor Rogers (4.21 ERA, 7–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Freddy Peralta (5.33 ERA, 5–9) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
12:15 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Orioles and Rays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Rays 6–7 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Trevor Rogers is at 61; Freddy Peralta is at 53. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.