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Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Sunday, Aug 16, 2026Tropicana Field12:15 PM ETPreview
BAL · Away · 60-63

Baltimore Orioles

AL East · 3rd · 14.5 GB
:
12:15 PM ET
H2H 76
TB · Home · 74-48

Tampa Bay Rays

AL East · 1st · —
Starting pitchers

T. Rogers

LHP · Trevor Rogers
Season (2026)
4.21
ERA
#107 MLB
1.25
WHIP
#90 MLB
7.7
K/9
#124 MLB
2.6
BB/9
#54 MLB
vs TB · career
17.18
ERA
.421
OPP AVG
3
K
3.7 IP1 GS2.73 WHIP
22 GS119.2 IP2.6 BB/9102 K (20.6%)
Starter form · last 5 starts
HOT
ERA better in last 5 0.83
SEASON ERA
4.21
LAST 5 ERA
3.38
6
DAYS REST
60%
QS (L5)
0/5
BLOW-UP (L5)
LAST 5 STARTS (EARNED RUNS)
07/18
1
07/24
2
07/29
4
08/05
2
08/10
2
↑ ERA trending up lately
COLD
ERA worse in last 5 +2.77
SEASON ERA
5.33
LAST 5 ERA
8.10
6
DAYS REST
20%
QS (L5)
2/5
BLOW-UP (L5)
LAST 5 STARTS (EARNED RUNS)
07/11
2
07/20
7
07/26
2
08/04
7
08/10
3
Alternating good/bad starts
Matchup edge
PITCHING
Orioles
HITTING
Rays
BULLPEN
Rays
OVERALL EDGE
Rays 2 - 1
◆ Matchup preview

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays (2026-08-16). Trevor Rogers vs Freddy Peralta at Tropicana Field.

Trevor Rogers limits damage with a 0.90 HR/9 and maintains a 4.21 ERA alongside a 7-8 record. Across 119.2 innings, he holds a 1.25 WHIP while striking out 7.67 batters per nine innings. His previous three outings produced lines of 4.0 IP/2 ER/4 K/2 BB, 6.0 IP/2 ER/9 K/0 BB, and 6.0 IP/4 ER/6 K/0 BB, backed by a disciplined 2.56 BB/9 and an upward trend. Freddy Peralta is coming off a start of 6.0 IP/3 ER/5 K/1 BB, which followed outings of 3.2 IP/7 ER/3 K/1 BB and 4.0 IP/2 ER/3 K/2 BB. On the season, he carries a 5-9 record with a 5.33 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 123.1 innings of work. The right-hander features an upward trend with an 8.83 K/9, a 3.65 BB/9, and a 1.46 HR/9.

Tampa Bay enters play having won eight of their last ten games, supported by an offense generating 557 runs with a .738 OPS and a .261 batting average. The Rays pitching staff holds a 3.71 team ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Baltimore has posted a 5-5 mark over their past ten contests, scoring 553 runs behind a .717 OPS and a .236 team average. The Orioles pitching staff brings a 4.23 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP into this matchup.

Key facts
Tampa Bay 8-2 L10Tampa Bay 3.71 team ERATrevor Rogers 0.90 HR/9
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Matchup snapshot
CURRENT FORM · LAST 10
Orioles 5-5
WWLWLWLLLW
HEAD TO HEAD · 2025–2026 (13 GAMES)
Orioles 7 - 6 Rays
Last meeting: SEP 25, 2025
Rays 5 - 6 Orioles
CURRENT FORM · LAST 10
Rays 8-2
LLWWWWWWWW
Projected hitters vs RHP / LHP
Orioles vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.8152 hot hittersTop: Alonso 0.892 · Basallo 0.883 · Alexander 0.837

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Rays vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.7822 hot hittersTop: Caminero 0.995 · Díaz 0.874 · Vilade 0.803

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Baltimore Orioles hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.268
0.892
27
0.319
0.837
4
0.274
0.883
16
0.191
0.659
6
Tampa Bay Rays hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.318
0.995
35
0.311
0.874
17
0.212
0.562
16
0.258
0.678
15
0.276
0.803
9
Season comparison
· 2026
BAL
TB
0.236
Team AVG
0.261
0.717
Team OPS
0.738
147
Home runs
128
553
Runs scored
557
4.23
Team ERA
3.71
129
HR allowed
152