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7in the bubble

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Saturday, Aug 8, 2026PNC Park6:40 PM ETPreview
NYM · Away · 51-66

New York Mets

NL East · 4th · 19.5 GB
:
6:40 PM ET
H2H 24
PIT · Home · 57-61

Pittsburgh Pirates

Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season1.80
Last 51.80
Recent form near season pace
6 days restQS 0%Blow-up 0/1
108/02
Season4.49
Last 54.21
0.28 ERA better in last 5
5 days restQS 20%Blow-up 0/5
407/05
207/11
007/22
307/28
208/03

↑ ERA trending up lately

Matchup edge
Robert Stock pitching edge·Pirates 28 L10
PitchingMets
Mets65Pirates27
HittingPirates
Mets34Pirates43
BullpenPirates
Mets47Pirates52
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / RHP
Mets vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.8562 hot hittersTop: Soto 1.023 · Ross 1.000 · Ewing 0.767

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Pirates vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.8783 hot hittersTop: Rodríguez 0.996 · Horwitz 0.883 · Valdez 0.882

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

New York Mets hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.200
1.000
1
0.300
1.023
21
0.245
0.751
12
0.239
0.740
7
0.281
0.767
7
Pittsburgh Pirates hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.292
0.882
14
0.313
0.996
7
0.243
0.802
14
0.269
0.825
15
0.291
0.883
10
◆ Matchup preview

New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates (2026-08-08). Robert Stock vs Bubba Chandler at PNC Park.

Starters — Robert Stock has a 1.80 ERA and 0.60 WHIP across 5.0 innings, with 7.2 K/9, 0.0 BB/9, and 1.8 HR/9. His only listed recent start came on 2026-08-02, when he allowed 1 earned run over 5.0 innings with 4 strikeouts and no walks. The sample is very small, so the strong run prevention and command need to be weighed against limited workload. Bubba Chandler has a 4.49 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 110.1 innings, with 7.99 K/9, 4.98 BB/9, and 0.82 HR/9. Over his last three starts, he went 5.2 innings with 2 earned runs, 5 strikeouts, and 4 walks; 4.0 innings with 3 earned runs, 3 strikeouts, and 1 walk; and 6.1 innings with no earned runs, 5 strikeouts, and 1 walk. His trend is up, and the recent line suggests improving results, though the walk rate remains a pressure point.

Teams — The Mets carry a .692 OPS and 488 runs scored, with a team 4.09 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. They are 6-4 over their last 10 games, which points to steadier recent form than their season-long offense suggests. Pittsburgh has a stronger .746 OPS and 592 runs scored, backed by a .257 team average, but the pitching staff sits at a 4.32 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. The Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10, so despite the better offensive profile, current form has been poor. From a betting perspective, this sets up a contrast between New York’s better recent results and Pittsburgh’s stronger season-long lineup production.

Key facts
Robert Stock has a 1.80 ERA and 0.60 WHIP, but in only 5.0 inningsBubba Chandler has a 4.98 BB/9 despite an upward recent trendPirates own a .746 OPS and 592 runs, while the Mets are 6-4 in their last 10
Head to head (2025–2026)
24
Pittsburgh Pirates lead series
6 meetings total
2025-06-29
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates
112
PIT
2025-06-28
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates
29
PIT
2025-06-27
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates
19
PIT
2025-05-14
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Mets
40
PIT
2025-05-13
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Mets
12
NYM
Team picture · 2026
64
WWWWLLLWWL
28
LLLLWLWLLL
NYM
PIT
Team AVG
0.235
0.257
Team OPS
0.692
0.746
Home runs
141
143
Runs scored
488
592
Team ERA
4.09
4.32
HR allowed
125
123

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