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Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Thursday, Jul 23, 2026Progressive Field1:10 PM ETPreview
MIN · Away · 50-53

Minnesota Twins

AL Central · 4th · 5.0 GB
:
1:10 PM ET
H2H 59
CLE · Home · 54-49

Cleveland Guardians

AL Central · 2nd · 1.0 GB
Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season3.85
Last 53.19
0.66 ERA better in last 5
5 days restQS 60%Blow-up 0/5
206/26
107/01
107/07
207/12
507/18

↑ ERA trending up lately

Season4.00
Last 54.63
0.63 ERA worse in last 5
5 days restQS 20%Blow-up 0/5
206/22
206/28
307/03
207/09
507/18

↑ ERA trending up lately

Matchup edge
Taj Bradley hotter lately (L5 3.19 ERA)·Twins 46 L10
PitchingTwins
Twins47Cleveland28
HittingTwins
Twins45Cleveland36
BullpenCleveland
Twins45Cleveland66
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / RHP
Twins vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.9085 hot hittersTop: Buxton 0.952 · Jeffers 0.950 · Jackson 0.927

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Cleveland vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.7681 hot hitterTop: Bazzana 0.903 · Hedges 0.788 · Rocchio 0.786

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Minnesota Twins hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.287
0.950
9
0.271
0.952
25
0.307
0.855
8
0.364
0.927
1
0.257
0.855
18
Cleveland Guardians hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.228
0.695
11
0.297
0.903
9
0.205
0.668
10
0.294
0.786
9
0.290
0.788
3
◆ Matchup preview

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians (2026-07-23). Taj Bradley vs Gavin Williams at Progressive Field.

Starters — Bradley has a 3.85 ERA and 1.25 WHIP across 107.2 innings, with 10.37 K/9, 3.59 BB/9, and 1.34 HR/9. His last three starts were 5.0 IP/5 ER/6 K/3 BB, 7.0 IP/2 ER/6 K/2 BB, and 7.0 IP/1 ER/10 K/0 BB. The overall form still points up despite the rough most recent outing, with swing-and-miss intact but some walk and home run risk. Williams carries a 4.00 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 119.1 innings, posting 10.94 K/9, 2.79 BB/9, and 1.51 HR/9. His last three starts were 6.0 IP/5 ER/11 K/0 BB, 7.0 IP/2 ER/11 K/1 BB, and 4.2 IP/3 ER/6 K/2 BB. His trend is also up, driven by elite strikeout production and cleaner command, though the home run rate remains a pressure point.

Teams — Minnesota owns a .734 OPS and 495 runs scored, with a .248 team average. The lineup has been more productive than Cleveland’s overall, but the recent 4-6 stretch suggests less consistency coming in. On the pitching side, the Twins have a 4.77 team ERA and 1.40 WHIP, numbers that can leave little margin if Bradley does not work deep. Cleveland has a .691 OPS, 416 runs, and a .234 average, so the offense has been lighter by season-long production. However, the Guardians enter on a 7-3 run and back Williams with a stronger run-prevention profile, carrying a 3.74 team ERA and 1.27 WHIP. That combination gives Cleveland a steadier baseline on the mound even if the lineup has been less explosive.

Key facts
Bradley 10.37 K/9 but 3.59 BB/9Williams 1.15 WHIP with 10.94 K/9Twins .734 OPS vs Guardians 3.74 team ERA
Head to head (2025–2026)
59
Cleveland Guardians lead series
14 meetings total
2025-09-21
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins
26
MIN
2025-09-20
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins
60
CLE
2025-09-20
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins
80
CLE
2025-09-19
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins
62
CLE
2025-08-03
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
54
MIN
Team picture · 2026
46
WLLLLWWWLL
73
LWWLLWWWWW
MIN
CLE
Team AVG
0.248
0.234
Team OPS
0.734
0.691
Home runs
126
102
Runs scored
495
416
Team ERA
4.77
3.74
HR allowed
125
117

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