INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central

Milwaukee Brewers 3, Chicago Cubs 17

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:40 PM ET · Wrigley FieldGame-day snapshot Aug 31, 10:35 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score69
Milwaukee Brewers
103–59 · 1st NL Central · T-Score 69
3
3–17
FINAL
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 60
17
T-Score60
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .037 difference in OPS.
BullpenBrewersMilwaukee has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formBrewersMilwaukee has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
PowerCubsChicago has 187 home runs this season, 61 more than Milwaukee.

Starting pitchers

MIL
Kyle Harrison LHP
Kyle Harrison
Milwaukee Brewers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.79
118th
WHIP
1.12
136th
K/9
11.06
12th
BB/9
2.35
80th
P-Score56i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.22
176th
OPS/R
–
IP
103.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.66
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
CHC
Clay Holmes RHP
Clay Holmes
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.26
38th
WHIP
1.06
69th
K/9
6.54
172nd
BB/9
2.97
156th
P-Score57i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.48
8th
OPS/R
–
IP
75.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.96
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Harrison strikes out 4.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Holmes allows the lower home-run rate: 0.48 vs 1.22 per nine.
·Holmes has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 0%.
·Holmes enters with a 2.26 ERA compared with Harrison's 2.79.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricHarrisonHolmesNote
Career vs opponent1.50 ERA, 2 GS– ERA, 18 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Harrison arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam57%94.7
Slurve32%82.0
Changeup9%85.8
Sinker2%94.3
Holmes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker49%93.1
Sweeper18%81.3
Changeup15%88.0
Cutter10%86.2
Curveball7%81.1
Four-seam1%92.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Brewers vs RHP (Clay Holmes)
2nd
in MLB
0.759OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cubs vs LHP (Kyle Harrison)
1st
in MLB
0.796OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Milwaukee BrewersOfficial lineupvs RHP Clay Holmes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Holmes (BvP)
1Brice TurangL2B76.81621.9010-for-1Very small sample
2Jackson ChourioRLF79.83825.7780-for-3Very small sample
3Jake BauersL1B84.87326.8630-for-1Very small sample
4William ContrerasRC74.75818.7570-for-2Very small sample
5Christian YelichLDH58.69312.7223-for-7Very small sample
6Garrett MitchellLCF71.77011.8021-for-1Very small sample
7Sal FrelickLRF38.6144.6400-for-1Very small sample
8David HamiltonL3B40.6504.6680-for-4Very small sample
9Cooper PrattRSS48.7183.768No MLB historyNo history
1Brice Turang 2B · L.268 / .816 · 21 HRvs hand .901 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample76H-Score2Jackson Chourio LF · R.291 / .838 · 25 HRvs hand .778 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample79H-Score3Jake Bauers 1B · L.266 / .873 · 26 HRvs hand .863 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample84H-Score4William Contreras C · R.270 / .758 · 18 HRvs hand .757 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample74H-Score5Christian Yelich DH · L.235 / .693 · 12 HRvs hand .722 · 3-for-7 · Very small sample58H-Score6Garrett Mitchell CF · L.262 / .770 · 11 HRvs hand .802 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample71H-Score7Sal Frelick RF · L.230 / .614 · 4 HRvs hand .640 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample38H-Score8David Hamilton 3B · L.245 / .650 · 4 HRvs hand .668 · 0-for-4 · Very small sample40H-Score9Cooper Pratt SS · R.281 / .718 · 3 HRvs hand .768 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs LHP Kyle Harrison
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Harrison (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF81.94245.9260-for-5Very small sample
2Seiya SuzukiRRF75.84126.9741-for-4Very small sample
3Alex BregmanR3B73.81928.8911-for-8Very small sample
4Tyrone TaylorRLF61.82711.955No MLB historyNo history
5Nico HoernerR2B49.6668.6742-for-5Very small sample
6Michael BuschL1B65.74520.7330-for-3Very small sample
7Carson KellyRC56.71210.8990-for-6Very small sample
8Miguel AmayaRC49.7176.7130-for-2Very small sample
9Matt ShawRRF50.7375.8261-for-2Very small sample
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .926 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample81H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .974 · 1-for-4 · Very small sample75H-Score3Alex Bregman 3B · R.265 / .819 · 28 HRvs hand .891 · 1-for-8 · Very small sample73H-Score4Tyrone Taylor LF · R.279 / .827 · 11 HRvs hand .955 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score5Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .674 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample49H-Score6Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .733 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample65H-Score7Carson Kelly C · R.258 / .712 · 10 HRvs hand .899 · 0-for-6 · Very small sample56H-Score8Miguel Amaya C · R.237 / .717 · 6 HRvs hand .713 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample49H-Score9Matt Shaw RF · R.237 / .737 · 5 HRvs hand .826 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample50H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMILMIL·CHCCHC
AVG.258 2nd.251 6th
OPS.744 4th.767 1st
Home runs154 29th220 3rd
Runs832 2nd850 1st
OBP.341 1st.339 2nd
SLG.403 11th.428 1st
PitchingMILMIL·CHCCHC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.51vs4.12
MILCHC
WHIP1.18vs1.26
MILCHC
K/99.6vs7.8
MILCHC
HR Allowed171vs231
MILCHC
BullpenMILMIL·CHCCHC
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.60vs4.38
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.18vs1.32
no league rank
Saves55vs36
MILCHC
ResultsMILMIL·CHCCHC
+4571st
Run differential
+4502nd
103–59 Record89–73
7–3 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Milwaukee Brewers (7–3)
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
Chicago Cubs (3–7)
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
6—7
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Kyle Harrison (2.79 ERA, 10–3) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Clay Holmes (2.26 ERA, 5–6) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Brewers and Cubs performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cubs 7–6 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Kyle Harrison is at 56; Clay Holmes is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.