INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsAL Central / NL East

Kansas City Royals 16, New York Mets 12

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:10 PM ET · Citi FieldGame-day snapshot Jul 7, 4:19 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 4, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score31
Kansas City Royals
69–93 · 5th AL Central · T-Score 31
16
16–12
FINAL
New York Mets
74–88 · 5th NL East · T-Score 45
12
T-Score45
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .014 difference in OPS.
Recent formMetsNew has won 4 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Team strengthMetsNew leads 45–31 in T-Score, driven by recent team form.
WeatherLow impact68°F, wind 6 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

KC
Seth Lugo RHP
Seth Lugo
Kansas City Royals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.20
172nd
WHIP
1.38
181st
K/9
7.10
169th
BB/9
2.80
82nd
P-Score48i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.12
108th
OPS/R
–
IP
96.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.46
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
NYM
Cionel Pérez LHP
Cionel Pérez
New York Mets
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
–
WHIP
–
K/9
–
BB/9
–
FIP
–
HR/9
–
OPS/R
–
IP
–
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Lugo averages 4.6 more innings per start.
·Lugo enters with a 6.10 road ERA; Pérez owns a 4.56 ERA at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Lugo arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker19%91.4
Four-seam16%91.6
Cutter16%89.8
Curveball15%77.3
Sweeper11%79.2
Slider9%84.3
Changeup9%85.1
Slow Curve2%69.2
Slurve1%77.2
Pérez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Slurve32%85.8
Sinker29%96.7
Four-seam21%96.9
Curveball18%85.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Royals vs LHP (Cionel Pérez)
19th
in MLB
0.699OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Mets vs RHP (Seth Lugo)
20th
in MLB
0.713OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page

Team comparison

OffenseKCKC·NYMNYM
AVG.248 8th.239 23rd
OPS.718 16th.706 24th
Home runs170 21st204 8th
Runs690 22nd699 21st
OBP.316 18th.310 27th
SLG.402 14th.396 23rd
PitchingKCKC·NYMNYM
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.77vs4.15
KCNYM
WHIP1.41vs1.29
KCNYM
K/97.4vs9.1
KCNYM
HR Allowed210vs184
KCNYM
ResultsKCKC·NYMNYM
+18127th
Run differential
+23523rd
69–93 Record74–88
3–7 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Kansas City Royals (3–7)
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
New York Mets (4–6)
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—2
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Royals?+
Seth Lugo (4.20 ERA, 3–6) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Mets?+
Cionel Pérez is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Citi Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Citi Field, home of the New York Mets.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Royals and Mets performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Mets 2–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.