INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL Central

Atlanta Braves 4, Pittsburgh Pirates 12

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:40 PM ET · PNC ParkGame-day snapshot Jul 7, 3:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 4, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score57
Atlanta Braves
94–68 · 1st NL East · T-Score 57
4
4–12
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
82–80 · 3rd NL Central · T-Score 53
12
T-Score53
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPiratesSkenes holds a modest edge in P-Score and WHIP, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handPiratesPittsburgh owns a .749 OPS vs RHP, 6th in MLB; Atlanta ranks 11th vs RHP.
Recent formEvenRecent results are nearly identical, with both clubs playing around .500 over the last 10.
Plate disciplinePiratesPittsburgh has drawn 342 walks this season, 74 more than Atlanta.
WeatherLow impact76°F, wind 2 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

ATL
Hurston Waldrep RHP
Hurston Waldrep
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.68
WHIP
1.64
K/9
8.59
BB/9
6.14
FIP
–
HR/9
1.23
OPS/R
–
IP
7.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.06
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 2)
DAYS
REST
5
PIT
Paul Skenes RHP
Paul Skenes
Pittsburgh Pirates
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.62
83rd
WHIP
1.01
38th
K/9
11.04
29th
BB/9
2.04
54th
P-Score65i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.02
84th
OPS/R
–
IP
97.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.67
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Skenes strikes out 2.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Skenes allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.01 WHIP compared with 1.64.
·Skenes has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 0%.
·Waldrep has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.21 more per nine innings.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Waldrep arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker39%94.2
Splitter19%84.1
Cutter16%91.3
Slider14%85.2
Curveball12%80.9
Skenes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam41%96.8
Sweeper16%84.3
Changeup12%88.7
Sinker12%96.6
Splitter10%93.2
Slider9%86.6
Curveball0%81.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Braves vs RHP (Paul Skenes)
11th
in MLB
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Pirates vs RHP (Hurston Waldrep)
6th
in MLB
0.749OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs RHP Paul Skenes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Skenes (BvP)
1Michael Harris II—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Ozzie Albies—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Matt Olson—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Drake Baldwin—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Mauricio Dubón—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Dominic Smith—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Austin Riley—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Mike Yastrzemski—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Jim Jarvis—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Michael Harris II– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Ozzie Albies– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Matt Olson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Drake Baldwin– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Mauricio Dubón– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Dominic Smith– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Austin Riley– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Mike Yastrzemski– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Jim Jarvis– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Pittsburgh PiratesOfficial lineupvs RHP Hurston Waldrep
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Waldrep (BvP)
1Jake Mangum—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Brandon Lowe—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Bryan Reynolds—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Esmerlyn Valdez—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Ryan O'Hearn—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Nick Gonzales—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Tyler Callihan—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Jared Triolo—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Henry Davis—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Jake Mangum– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Brandon Lowe– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Bryan Reynolds– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Esmerlyn Valdez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Ryan O'Hearn– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Nick Gonzales– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Tyler Callihan– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Jared Triolo– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Henry Davis– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseATLATL·PITPIT
AVG.246 11th.253 5th
OPS.718 17th.734 6th
Home runs204 9th186 13th
Runs742 8th767 6th
OBP.309 28th.330 4th
SLG.409 7th.404 9th
PitchingATLATL·PITPIT
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.63vs4.14
ATLPIT
WHIP1.24vs1.30
ATLPIT
K/98.4vs9.3
ATLPIT
HR Allowed185vs155
ATLPIT
ResultsATLATL·PITPIT
+32110th
Run differential
+3319th
94–68 Record82–80
4–6 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Atlanta Braves (4–6)
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
Pittsburgh Pirates (5–5)
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—4
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Braves?+
Hurston Waldrep (3.68 ERA, 0–0) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Pirates?+
Paul Skenes (3.62 ERA, 6–8) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at PNC Park.
Where is the game being played?+
PNC Park, home of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Braves and Pirates performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Pirates 4–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.