INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / NL West

Chicago Cubs 4, Arizona Diamondbacks 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

9:40 PM ET · Chase FieldGame-day snapshot Aug 26, 12:25 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 8, 5:01 AM ET
T-Score64
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 64
4
4–5
FINAL
Arizona Diamondbacks
86–76 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 50
5
T-Score50
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .757 OPS vs RHP, 3th in MLB; Arizona ranks 26th vs RHP.
Starter formDiamondbacksPfaadt has a 1.35 ERA over his last five starts, while Holmes is at 3.81.
PowerCubsChicago has 176 home runs this season, 47 more than Arizona.
WeatherModerate impactA 3 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Starting pitchers

CHC
Clay Holmes RHP
Clay Holmes
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.49
38th
WHIP
1.11
68th
K/9
6.55
172nd
BB/9
3.01
156th
P-Score57i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.52
8th
OPS/R
–
IP
68.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.81
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
AZ
Brandon Pfaadt RHP
Brandon Pfaadt
Arizona Diamondbacks
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.39
78th
WHIP
1.14
64th
K/9
6.32
201st
BB/9
2.20
29th
P-Score56i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.01
57th
OPS/R
–
IP
98.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.35
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Holmes allows the lower home-run rate: 0.52 vs 1.01 per nine.
·Holmes enters with a 2.49 ERA compared with Pfaadt's 3.39.
·Pfaadt has produced a quality start in 80% of outings versus 20%.
·Pfaadt has the stronger command profile, with a 2.2 BB/9 versus 3.0.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricHolmesPfaadtNote
Career vs opponent3.18 ERA, 1 GS7.71 ERA, 1 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Holmes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker49%93.1
Sweeper18%81.3
Changeup15%88.0
Cutter10%86.2
Curveball7%81.1
Four-seam1%92.9
Pfaadt arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam27%93.2
Sinker17%93.1
Changeup16%87.0
Curveball15%82.4
Sweeper13%84.2
Cutter12%90.4

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs RHP (Brandon Pfaadt)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Diamondbacks vs RHP (Clay Holmes)
26th
in MLB
0.697OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs RHP Brandon Pfaadt
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Pfaadt (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF84.94245.9730-for-6Very small sample
2Seiya SuzukiRRF78.84126.7970-for-5Very small sample
3Michael BuschL1B68.74520.7361-for-5Very small sample
4Alex BregmanR3B76.81928.7990-for-4Very small sample
5Ian HappSLF67.73824.8160-for-5Very small sample
6Nico HoernerR2B49.6668.6653-for-14Small sample
7Pedro RamírezS2B55.7236.662No MLB historyNo history
8Michael ConfortoLDH71.80015.7742-for-5Very small sample
9Miguel AmayaRC51.7176.7011-for-3Very small sample
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .973 · 0-for-6 · Very small sample84H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .797 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample78H-Score3Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .736 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample68H-Score4Alex Bregman 3B · R.265 / .819 · 28 HRvs hand .799 · 0-for-4 · Very small sample76H-Score5Ian Happ LF · S.218 / .738 · 24 HRvs hand .816 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample67H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .665 · 3-for-14 · Small sample49H-Score7Pedro Ramírez 2B · S.261 / .723 · 6 HRvs hand .662 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score8Michael Conforto DH · L.240 / .800 · 15 HRvs hand .774 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample71H-Score9Miguel Amaya C · R.237 / .717 · 6 HRvs hand .701 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample51H-Score
Arizona DiamondbacksOfficial lineupvs RHP Clay Holmes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Holmes (BvP)
1Lars NootbaarLLF66.7218.8001-for-7Very small sample
2Corbin CarrollLRF78.79522.7272-for-4Very small sample
3Gabriel MorenoRC78.87416.9090-for-2Very small sample
4Geraldo PerdomoSSS62.7479.7620-for-1Very small sample
5Max KeplerLLF35.5652.5390-for-4Very small sample
6Nolan ArenadoR3B64.80630.7753-for-9Very small sample
7Tim TawaR1B57.69011.704No MLB historyNo history
8Ildemaro VargasS1B49.6759.5801-for-3Very small sample
9Jordan LawlarRCF54.7796.722No MLB historyNo history
1Lars Nootbaar LF · L.239 / .721 · 8 HRvs hand .800 · 1-for-7 · Very small sample66H-Score2Corbin Carroll RF · L.239 / .795 · 22 HRvs hand .727 · 2-for-4 · Very small sample78H-Score3Gabriel Moreno C · R.311 / .874 · 16 HRvs hand .909 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample78H-Score4Geraldo Perdomo SS · S.262 / .747 · 9 HRvs hand .762 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample62H-Score5Max Kepler LF · L.205 / .565 · 2 HRvs hand .539 · 0-for-4 · Very small sample35H-Score6Nolan Arenado 3B · R.255 / .806 · 30 HRvs hand .775 · 3-for-9 · Very small sample64H-Score7Tim Tawa 1B · R.240 / .690 · 11 HRvs hand .704 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score8Ildemaro Vargas 1B · S.254 / .675 · 9 HRvs hand .580 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample49H-Score9Jordan Lawlar CF · R.258 / .779 · 6 HRvs hand .722 · No MLB history · No history54H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCHCCHC·AZAZ
AVG.251 6th.246 11th
OPS.767 1st.720 14th
Home runs220 3rd166 25th
Runs850 1st739 11th
OBP.339 2nd.318 13th
SLG.428 1st.402 15th
PitchingCHCCHC·AZAZ
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.12vs4.18
CHCAZ
WHIP1.26vs1.28
CHCAZ
K/97.8vs7.1
CHCAZ
HR Allowed231vs186
CHCAZ
BullpenCHCCHC·AZAZ
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.32vs4.19
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.32vs1.30
no league rank
Saves36vs38
CHCAZ
ResultsCHCCHC·AZAZ
+4422nd
Run differential
+31213th
89–73 Record86–76
5–5 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs (5–5)
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
Arizona Diamondbacks (5–5)
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—3
7 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Clay Holmes (2.49 ERA, 5–6) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Diamondbacks?+
Brandon Pfaadt (3.39 ERA, 7–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
9:40 PM ET at Chase Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Chase Field, home of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Cubs and Diamondbacks performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Diamondbacks 3–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Clay Holmes is at 57; Brandon Pfaadt is at 56. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.