Season Schedule
OffSTRegASGRegPostWSOff
Road to Playoffs
Open board →
Playoff odds, bubble teams & races — 30 clubs
5in the bubble

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Saturday, Aug 15, 2026Daikin Park7:10 PM ETPreview
SEA · Away · 57-66

Seattle Mariners

AL West · 5th · 6.0 GB
:
7:10 PM ET
H2H 85
HOU · Home · 63-60

Houston Astros

AL West · 1st · —
Starting pitchers

E. Hancock

RHP · Emerson Hancock
Season (2026)
3.35
ERA
#47 MLB
1.12
WHIP
#40 MLB
8.3
K/9
#95 MLB
2.2
BB/9
#31 MLB
vs HOU · career
5.40
ERA
.235
OPP AVG
5
K
5.0 IP1 GS1.20 WHIP
22 GS121.0 IP2.2 BB/9111 K (23.0%)
Starter form · last 5 starts
Starter form
COLD
ERA worse in last 5 +0.51
SEASON ERA
3.35
LAST 5 ERA
3.86
6
DAYS REST
40%
QS (L5)
0/5
BLOW-UP (L5)
LAST 5 STARTS (EARNED RUNS)
07/12
0
07/22
2
07/29
3
08/04
3
08/09
2
↑ ERA trending up lately
Starter form
STEADY
Recent form near season pace
SEASON ERA
3.86
LAST 5 ERA
3.86
5
DAYS REST
66.7%
QS (L5)
0/3
BLOW-UP (L5)
LAST 5 STARTS (EARNED RUNS)
07/29
3
08/04
2
08/10
3
Matchup edge
Matchup edge
OVERALL EDGE: ASTROS2 - 1
SEATEAM STRENGTH (0-100)HOU
EDGE
PITCHING
Starting Pitching
42
52
HOU
HITTING
Team Offense
17
45
HOU
BULLPEN
Relief Pitching
63
52
SEA
Scores are relative team strengths (0-100). Higher is better.
◆ Matchup preview

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros (2026-08-15). Emerson Hancock vs Hayden Wesneski at Daikin Park.

Starters — Hancock has a 3.35 ERA and 1.12 WHIP across 121 innings, with 8.26 K/9, 2.23 BB/9, and 1.12 HR/9. His last three starts were 4.2 innings with 2 earned runs, 6 innings with 3 earned runs, and 5 innings with 3 earned runs. The profile is steady, and the listed trend is up. Wesneski has a 3.86 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 18.2 innings, with 5.79 K/9, 2.89 BB/9, and 0.96 HR/9. His last three starts were 7 innings with 3 earned runs, 6 innings with 2 earned runs, and 5.2 innings with 3 earned runs. He has worked efficiently so far, though the sample is still small.

Teams — Seattle owns a .683 OPS and 476 runs, with a .229 team average. The Mariners pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, but the club is just 2-8 over its last 10 games. Houston brings a .731 OPS and 569 runs, with a .244 team average. The Astros staff has a 4.55 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, and they are 5-5 in their last 10. From a betting angle, Seattle shows the stronger full-season run prevention numbers, while Houston has the more productive offense and better overall contact profile.

Key facts
Hancock has a 3.35 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 8.26 K/9 in 121 IPHouston offense leads this matchup with a .731 OPS and 569 runsSeattle staff edge: 3.85 team ERA and 1.21 WHIP vs Houston’s 4.55 and 1.35
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / RHP
Seattle vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.7942 hot hittersTop: Canzone 0.887 · Arozarena 0.850 · Raley 0.793

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Astros vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.8441 hot hitterTop: Alvarez 1.125 · Walker 0.781 · Peña 0.779

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Seattle Mariners hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.292
0.850
16
0.273
0.887
19
0.261
0.708
19
0.248
0.733
3
0.234
0.793
15
Houston Astros hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.335
1.125
36
0.286
0.779
13
0.246
0.781
23
0.245
0.768
15
0.272
0.767
7
Matchup snapshot
CURRENT FORM · LAST 10
SEA 2-8
LWLLLLLLWL
HEAD TO HEAD · 2025–2026 (13 GAMES)
SEA 8 - 5 HOU
Last 5: SEA 4-1 HOU
Last meeting: SEP 21, 2025
SEA 7 - 3 HOU
CURRENT FORM · LAST 10
HOU 5-5
WWLWLLWLWL
Season comparison
· 2026
SEA
HOU
0.229
Team AVG
0.244
0.683
Team OPS
0.731
142
Home runs
164
476
Runs scored
569
3.85
Team ERA
4.55
133
HR allowed
164