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5in the bubble

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves

Saturday, Aug 15, 2026Truist Park7:15 PM ETPreview
AZ · Away · 65-58

Arizona Diamondbacks

NL West · 5th · 9.0 GB
:
7:15 PM ET
H2H 42
ATL · Home · 73-49

Atlanta Braves

Starting pitchers

E. Rodriguez

LHP · Eduardo Rodriguez
Season (2026)
2.70
ERA
#17 MLB
1.23
WHIP
#74 MLB
6.3
K/9
#173 MLB
3.0
BB/9
#88 MLB
vs ATL · career
0.00
ERA
.160
OPP AVG
3
K
7.0 IP1 GS0.71 WHIP
24 GS143.1 IP3.0 BB/9101 K (17.2%)

G. Holmes

RHP · Grant Holmes
Season (2026)
3.47
ERA
#67 MLB
1.32
WHIP
#108 MLB
7.4
K/9
#131 MLB
3.8
BB/9
#151 MLB
vs AZ · career
0.00
ERA
.056
OPP AVG
4
K
6.0 IP1 GS0.67 WHIP
22 GS114.0 IP3.8 BB/994 K (19.7%)
Starter form · last 5 starts
Starter form
COLD
ERA worse in last 5 +1.60
SEASON ERA
2.70
LAST 5 ERA
4.30
6
DAYS REST
60%
QS (L5)
0/5
BLOW-UP (L5)
LAST 5 STARTS (EARNED RUNS)
07/19
5
07/24
2
07/29
0
08/04
5
08/09
2
Alternating good/bad starts
Starter form
HOT
ERA better in last 5 0.43
SEASON ERA
3.47
LAST 5 ERA
3.04
6
DAYS REST
40%
QS (L5)
0/5
BLOW-UP (L5)
LAST 5 STARTS (EARNED RUNS)
07/19
3
07/24
3
07/30
3
08/04
0
08/09
0
↓ ERA trending down lately
Matchup edge
Matchup edge
OVERALL EDGE: BRAVES2 - 0
AZTEAM STRENGTH (0-100)ATL
EDGE
PITCHING
Starting Pitching
64
63
EVEN
HITTING
Team Offense
40
50
ATL
BULLPEN
Relief Pitching
54
65
ATL
Scores are relative team strengths (0-100). Higher is better.
◆ Matchup preview

Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves (2026-08-15). Eduardo Rodriguez vs Grant Holmes at Truist Park.

Starters — Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2.70 ERA and 1.23 WHIP across 143.1 innings, with 6.34 K/9, 2.95 BB/9, and 0.82 HR/9. His last three starts were 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 9 K, 2 BB; 5.2 IP, 5 ER, 4 K, 0 BB; and 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB. The profile points to run prevention and home-run control, though the recent form is labeled down despite two strong outings in the last three. Grant Holmes carries a 3.47 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 114.0 innings, with 7.42 K/9, 3.79 BB/9, and 1.42 HR/9. His last three starts were 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 2 BB; 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 1 BB; and 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, 2 BB. His trend is also marked down, but the immediate form is solid with back-to-back scoreless starts.

Teams — Arizona enters with a .713 OPS, 554 runs, a .243 average, and a pitching staff at 4.08 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP. The Diamondbacks are 5-5 over their last 10, which fits a fairly neutral recent snapshot. Atlanta brings a .731 OPS, 591 runs, and a .248 average, backed by a 3.59 team ERA and 1.24 WHIP. The Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 and hold the stronger full-season edge in both run production and staff results. From a betting perspective, Atlanta’s team baseline looks a bit more complete, while Arizona gets the better individual ERA and HR suppression from Rodriguez.

Key facts
Rodriguez has a 2.70 ERA and 0.82 HR/9 in 143.1 IPHolmes has allowed 18 HR in 114.0 IP despite two straight scoreless startsAtlanta owns a .731 OPS and 3.59 team ERA, compared with Arizona’s .713 OPS and 4.08 team ERA
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / LHP
Arizona vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.8151 hot hitterTop: Lawlar 0.900 · Moreno 0.828 · Locklear 0.801

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Braves vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.8763 hot hittersTop: Hicklen 1.057 · Azócar 0.860 · Olson 0.854

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Arizona Diamondbacks hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.318
0.900
1
0.297
0.828
8
0.213
0.768
18
0.278
0.801
1
0.292
0.777
4
Atlanta Braves hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.368
1.057
0
0.276
0.854
35
0.353
0.860
0
0.257
0.821
20
0.289
0.789
20
Matchup snapshot
CURRENT FORM · LAST 10
AZ 5-5
WLLWWLWLWL
HEAD TO HEAD · 2025–2026 (6 GAMES)
AZ 4 - 2 ATL
Last 5: AZ 4-1 ATL
Last meeting: JUN 5, 2025
AZ 11 - 10 ATL
CURRENT FORM · LAST 10
ATL 6-4
LWWLWLLWWW
Season comparison
· 2026
AZ
ATL
0.243
Team AVG
0.248
0.713
Team OPS
0.731
119
Home runs
164
554
Runs scored
591
4.08
Team ERA
3.59
140
HR allowed
139