INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL West / NL East

San Diego Padres 1, New York Mets 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:10 PM ET · Citi FieldGame-day snapshot Aug 17, 9:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score47
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 47
1
1–2
FINAL
New York Mets
74–88 · 5th NL East · T-Score 46
2
T-Score46
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMetsMcLean owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handPadresSan owns a .722 OPS vs RHP, 15th in MLB; New ranks 20th vs RHP.
BullpenPadresSan owns a 3.60 bullpen ERA this season, compared with New's 4.57.
Recent formPadresSan has been the better recent team, at 8–2 over the last 10.
WeatherLow impact68°F, wind 6 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

SD
Walker Buehler RHP
Walker Buehler
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.88
146th
WHIP
1.43
134th
K/9
7.87
134th
BB/9
3.70
128th
P-Score47i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.10
130th
OPS/R
–
IP
114.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.20
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
NYM
Nolan McLean RHP
Nolan McLean
New York Mets
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.42
33rd
WHIP
1.13
60th
K/9
10.47
40th
BB/9
3.29
141st
P-Score65i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.99
38th
OPS/R
–
IP
136.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.07
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·McLean strikes out 2.6 more batters per nine innings.
·McLean allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.13 WHIP compared with 1.43.
·McLean enters with a 3.42 ERA compared with Buehler's 4.88.
·McLean has produced a quality start in 80% of outings versus 20%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricBuehlerMcLeanNote
Career vs opponent– ERA, 6 GS1.50 ERA, 1 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Buehler arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter24%90.4
Four-seam20%94.0
Sinker20%94.2
Slider11%87.1
Changeup9%89.3
Knuckle Curve8%78.3
Sweeper7%82.5
McLean arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker34%95.1
Four-seam20%96.0
Curveball14%82.0
Sweeper11%84.9
Cutter10%92.1
Changeup6%88.2
Slider4%86.0
Slow Curve0%74.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Padres vs RHP (Nolan McLean)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Mets vs RHP (Walker Buehler)
20th
in MLB
0.713OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Nolan McLean
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs McLean (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF84.82825.7822-for-3Very small sample
2Jake CronenworthL2B38.6297.630No MLB historyNo history
3Manny MachadoR3B68.71030.7140-for-3Very small sample
4Ty FranceR1B77.86521.8690-for-2Very small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF68.74326.7440-for-3Very small sample
6Luis CampusanoRC61.7968.791No MLB historyNo history
7Gavin SheetsL1B54.71017.7640-for-3Very small sample
8Xander BogaertsRSS57.67613.6870-for-1Very small sample
9Luis RengifoSLF40.6364.677No MLB historyNo history
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .782 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample84H-Score2Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .630 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .714 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample77H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .744 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score6Luis Campusano C · R.265 / .796 · 8 HRvs hand .791 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score7Gavin Sheets 1B · L.212 / .710 · 17 HRvs hand .764 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample54H-Score8Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .687 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample57H-Score9Luis Rengifo LF · S.240 / .636 · 4 HRvs hand .677 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score
New York MetsOfficial lineupvs RHP Walker Buehler
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Buehler (BvP)
1A.J. EwingLCF57.70011.713No MLB historyNo history
2Francisco LindorSSS69.73221.7751-for-3Very small sample
3Bo BichetteR3B62.70218.6701-for-3Very small sample
4Carson BengeLRF67.77620.780No MLB historyNo history
5Luis Robert Jr.RCF55.70711.6950-for-3Very small sample
6Jared YoungL1B64.7599.793No MLB historyNo history
7Marcus SemienR2B46.62015.6070-for-1Very small sample
8Jorge PolancoSDH19.4312.4922-for-2Very small sample
9Francisco AlvarezRC60.71016.7490-for-1Very small sample
1A.J. Ewing CF · L.252 / .700 · 11 HRvs hand .713 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score2Francisco Lindor SS · S.225 / .732 · 21 HRvs hand .775 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample69H-Score3Bo Bichette 3B · R.260 / .702 · 18 HRvs hand .670 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample62H-Score4Carson Benge RF · L.282 / .776 · 20 HRvs hand .780 · No MLB history · No history67H-Score5Luis Robert Jr. CF · R.221 / .707 · 11 HRvs hand .695 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample55H-Score6Jared Young 1B · L.266 / .759 · 9 HRvs hand .793 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score7Marcus Semien 2B · R.215 / .620 · 15 HRvs hand .607 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample46H-Score8Jorge Polanco DH · S.148 / .431 · 2 HRvs hand .492 · 2-for-2 · Very small sample19H-Score9Francisco Alvarez C · R.233 / .710 · 16 HRvs hand .749 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample60H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseSDSD·NYMNYM
AVG.244 17th.239 23rd
OPS.717 19th.706 23rd
Home runs183 15th204 8th
Runs722 15th699 20th
OBP.319 12th.310 26th
SLG.398 20th.396 22nd
PitchingSDSD·NYMNYM
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.99vs4.15
SDNYM
WHIP1.29vs1.29
SDNYM
K/98.2vs9.1
SDNYM
HR Allowed180vs184
SDNYM
BullpenSDSD·NYMNYM
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.60vs4.57
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.26vs1.37
no league rank
Saves48vs31
SDNYM
ResultsSDSD·NYMNYM
+30718th
Run differential
+27920th
91–71 Record74–88
8–2 Last 107–3
Last 10 games
San Diego Padres (8–2)
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
New York Mets (7–3)
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Padres?+
Walker Buehler (4.88 ERA, 7–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Mets?+
Nolan McLean (3.42 ERA, 8–8) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Citi Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Citi Field, home of the New York Mets.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Padres and Mets performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Mets 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Walker Buehler is at 47; Nolan McLean is at 65. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.