INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL Central

Philadelphia Phillies 5, Cincinnati Reds 11

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball ParkGame-day snapshot Jul 8, 4:21 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 4, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score46
Philadelphia Phillies
88–74 · 2nd NL East · T-Score 46
5
5–11
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
75–87 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 26
11
T-Score26
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Recent formPhilliesPhiladelphia has been the better recent team, at 5–5 over the last 10.
Team strengthPhilliesPhiladelphia leads 46–26 in T-Score, driven by recent team form.
Plate disciplineRedsCincinnati has drawn 335 walks this season, 65 more than Philadelphia.

Starting pitchers

CIN
Chase Burns RHP
Chase Burns
Cincinnati Reds
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.40
22nd
WHIP
1.08
61st
K/9
10.69
16th
BB/9
2.86
123rd
P-Score67i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.11
74th
OPS/R
–
IP
97.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.29
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Burns averages 2.0 more innings per start.
·Rangel carries a 6.00 road ERA, compared with Burns's 2.24 mark at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Rangel arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Changeup37%80.8
Four-seam34%92.9
Slider16%84.5
Curveball12%73.2
Burns arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam55%97.6
Slider39%90.2
Changeup5%90.2
Sinker0%97.1
Curveball0%81.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Phillies vs RHP (Chase Burns)
23rd
in MLB
0.707OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Reds vs RHP (Alan Rangel)
27th
in MLB
0.693OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page

Team comparison

OffensePHIPHI·CINCIN
AVG.240 21st.229 30th
OPS.707 22nd.699 25th
Home runs182 16th213 4th
Runs713 19th666 27th
OBP.312 23rd.305 30th
SLG.395 24th.394 25th
PitchingPHIPHI·CINCIN
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.04vs4.83
PHICIN
WHIP1.29vs1.44
PHICIN
K/99.9vs8.1
PHICIN
HR Allowed191vs214
PHICIN
ResultsPHIPHI·CINCIN
+28217th
Run differential
+15529th
88–74 Record75–87
5–5 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Phillies (5–5)
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
Cincinnati Reds (3–7)
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Alan Rangel is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Chase Burns (2.40 ERA, 10–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Phillies and Reds performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Reds 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.