Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxBoston has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Tolle leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handSoxBoston has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.
Team strengthSoxBoston leads 58–47 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Tolle allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.08 WHIP compared with 1.34.
·Tolle enters with a 3.15 ERA compared with Prielipp's 5.24.
·Tolle owns a 10.4 K/9 compared with Prielipp's 9.3.
·Prielipp enters with a 6.24 road ERA; Tolle owns a 3.88 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Prielipp | Tolle | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 126 | 74 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.91 | 3.10 | |
| WAR | 1.5 | 3.7 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Prielipp arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Slider | 30% | 87.9 |
| Four-seam | 27% | 95.6 |
| Curveball | 18% | 83.0 |
| Sinker | 15% | 95.1 |
| Changeup | 10% | 86.7 |
Tolle arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 45% | 96.1 |
| Sinker | 23% | 95.0 |
| Cutter | 19% | 88.6 |
| Curveball | 9% | 83.0 |
| Changeup | 3% | 88.6 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.678OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
MIN·
BOS+16420th
Run differential
+2626th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Twins?+
Connor Prielipp is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Payton Tolle is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Connor Prielipp is at 50; Payton Tolle is at 70. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.