Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handCubsChicago has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 63–50 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Arrighetti owns the lower FIP, 5.46 to 6.60.
·Arrighetti allows the lower home-run rate: 1.44 vs 2.83 per nine.
·Taillon walks 1.7 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Arrighetti enters with a 6.48 road ERA; Taillon owns a 4.22 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Arrighetti | Taillon | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 126 | 137 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 5.46 | 6.60 | |
| WAR | -0.1 | -1.1 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Arrighetti arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Curveball | 34% | 76.5 |
| Four-seam | 29% | 92.4 |
| Sweeper | 12% | 79.7 |
| Sinker | 10% | 92.2 |
| Changeup | 7% | 84.2 |
| Cutter | 7% | 87.8 |
| Slider | 1% | 82.2 |
Taillon arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 27% | 91.8 |
| Cutter | 19% | 86.3 |
| Sweeper | 16% | 80.2 |
| Changeup | 16% | 84.5 |
| Curveball | 11% | 79.1 |
| Sinker | 10% | 91.9 |
| Slider | 1% | 82.8 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.726OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
HOU·
CHC+21113th
Run differential
+3213rd
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Spencer Arrighetti is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Jameson Taillon is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:20 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Spencer Arrighetti is at 39; Jameson Taillon is at 35. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.