FinalFinal lineupsAL West / NL Central

Houston Astros 1, Cincinnati Reds 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:10 PM ET · Great American Ball ParkStats availableFinal lineups locked
T-Score50
78–80 · 1st AL West · T-Score 50
1
13
FINAL
73–85 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 29
3
T-Score29
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRedsCincinnati has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Burns leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handAstrosHouston has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthAstrosHouston leads 50–29 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.

Starting pitchers

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.96
162nd
WHIP
1.38
150th
K/9
8.62
89th
BB/9
5.20
211th
P-Score38i
FIP
5.46
HR/9
1.46
162nd
OPS/R
0.631
IP
110.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.19
Road ERA6.48
Last 5 starts
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.86
20th
WHIP
1.17
56th
K/9
10.79
17th
BB/9
3.27
119th
P-Score69i
FIP
3.17
HR/9
0.99
72nd
OPS/R
0.499
IP
154.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.09
Road ERA3.46
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Burns owns the lower FIP, 3.17 to 5.46.
·Burns strikes out 2.2 more batters per nine innings.
·Burns allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.17 WHIP compared with 1.38.
·Burns allows the lower home-run rate: 0.99 vs 1.46 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricArrighettiBurnsNote
ERA−12665Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP5.463.17
WAR-0.14.4Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Arrighetti arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Curveball34%76.5
Four-seam29%92.4
Sweeper12%79.7
Sinker10%92.2
Changeup7%84.2
Cutter7%87.8
Slider1%82.2
Burns arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam56%97.6
Slider39%90.2
Changeup5%90.1
Sinker0%97.0
Curveball0%81.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

11th
in MLB
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
27th
in MLB
0.690OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Lineups not announced

Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.

Team comparison

ResultsHOUHOU·CINCIN
+23817th
Run differential
+10729th
78–80 Record73–85
Last 10 games
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
00
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Astros?+
Spencer Arrighetti is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Chase Burns is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Spencer Arrighetti is at 38; Chase Burns is at 69. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.