Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRedsCincinnati has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Burns leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handAstrosHouston has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthAstrosHouston leads 43–19 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Arrighetti enters with a 6.48 road ERA; Burns owns a 2.24 ERA at home.
·Burns holds a 29-point P-Score advantage, 67 to 38.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Arrighetti arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Curveball | 34% | 76.5 |
| Four-seam | 29% | 92.4 |
| Sweeper | 12% | 79.7 |
| Sinker | 10% | 92.2 |
| Changeup | 7% | 84.2 |
| Cutter | 7% | 87.8 |
| Slider | 1% | 82.2 |
Burns arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 55% | 97.6 |
| Slider | 39% | 90.2 |
| Changeup | 5% | 90.2 |
| Sinker | 0% | 97.1 |
| Curveball | 0% | 81.9 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.693OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
HOU·
CIN+39311th
Run differential
+23229th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Spencer Arrighetti is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Chase Burns is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Spencer Arrighetti is at 38; Chase Burns is at 67. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.