Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handSoxChicago has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthSoxChicago leads 54–40 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Kay enters with a 4.53 ERA compared with Castillo's 5.67.
·Kay allows the lower home-run rate: 1.24 vs 1.68 per nine.
·The WHIP gap favors Kay, 1.37 to 1.48.
·Castillo enters with a 6.30 road ERA; Kay owns a 3.86 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Castillo | Kay | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 142 | 108 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 5.00 | 4.85 | |
| WAR | 0.4 | 1.0 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Castillo arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 42% | 95.2 |
| Slider | 25% | 85.6 |
| Sinker | 18% | 95.4 |
| Changeup | 15% | 87.4 |
| Cutter | 0% | 92.3 |
Kay arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sweeper | 23% | 82.7 |
| Four-seam | 22% | 95.8 |
| Sinker | 17% | 95.2 |
| Cutter | 17% | 91.7 |
| Changeup | 14% | 86.1 |
| Slider | 6% | 86.3 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.648OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.714OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
SEA·
CWS+13224th
Run differential
+2569th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Mariners?+
Luis Castillo is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Anthony Kay is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Rate Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Rate Field, home of the Chicago White Sox.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Luis Castillo is at 40; Anthony Kay is at 47. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.