Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handAstrosHouston owns a .710 OPS vs LHP, 13th in MLB; Cincinnati ranks 27th vs RHP.
Team strengthAstrosHouston leads 50–29 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Lodolo enters with a 5.04 ERA compared with Burrows's 5.99.
·Lodolo allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.47 WHIP compared with 1.55.
·Burrows has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.26 more per nine innings.
·Burrows carries a 5.13 road ERA, compared with Lodolo's 4.58 mark at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Burrows | Lodolo | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 145 | 119 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 5.64 | 5.76 | |
| WAR | -0.4 | -0.1 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Burrows arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 29% | 95.0 |
| Changeup | 27% | 86.7 |
| Slider | 16% | 89.5 |
| Curveball | 14% | 79.0 |
| Sinker | 14% | 94.5 |
Lodolo arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 27% | 93.9 |
| Sinker | 26% | 93.6 |
| Curveball | 25% | 82.5 |
| Changeup | 22% | 88.0 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.710OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.690OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
HOU·
CIN+23817th
Run differential
+10729th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Mike Burrows is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Nick Lodolo is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Mike Burrows is at 38; Nick Lodolo is at 41. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.