Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .757 OPS vs RHP, 3th in MLB; Houston ranks 12th vs LHP.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 63–50 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Lambert allows the lower home-run rate: 0.86 vs 1.89 per nine.
·Lambert owns the lower FIP, 3.90 to 4.70.
·Imanaga walks 1.4 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Lambert carries a 3.17 road ERA, compared with Imanaga's 4.15 mark at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Lambert | Imanaga | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 89 | 94 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.90 | 4.70 | |
| WAR | 2.2 | 1.3 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Lambert arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 31% | 93.9 |
| Changeup | 24% | 86.9 |
| Slider | 12% | 85.6 |
| Cutter | 11% | 91.6 |
| Sinker | 9% | 93.4 |
| Sweeper | 8% | 82.8 |
| Slurve | 5% | 80.2 |
| Curveball | 0% | 77.8 |
Imanaga arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 41% | 91.6 |
| Splitter | 34% | 82.8 |
| Sweeper | 15% | 80.9 |
| Sinker | 6% | 90.1 |
| Curveball | 3% | 74.4 |
| Slider | 2% | 86.4 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
HOU·
CHC+21113th
Run differential
+3213rd
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Peter Lambert is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Shota Imanaga is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:20 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Peter Lambert is at 57; Shota Imanaga is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.