INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / NL West

Chicago Cubs 1, San Diego Padres 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

10:00 PM ET · Petco ParkGame-day snapshot Oct 2, 2:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score61
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 61
1
1–4
FINAL · 9 innings
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 47
4
T-Score47
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Kevin GausmanCHC
StarterLoss
3.1530154
Nick PivettaSD
Starter
3.1312466
Bradgley RodriguezSD
ReliefWin
1.2001221
Mason MillerSD
ReliefSave
1.0100219
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
CHCChicago Cubs000100000150
SDSan Diego Padres020200000480
Top hitters
Gavin Sheets1-for-1 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Xander Bogaerts2-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R
Nico Hoerner2-for-4 · 1 RBI
Ethan Salas0-for-1 · 1 RBI
Ty France2-for-4 · 1 R

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPadresPivetta leads Gausman in P-Score (63 vs 58), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .757 OPS vs RHP, 3th in MLB; San ranks 15th vs RHP.
Recent formPadresSan has been the better recent team, at 8–2 over the last 10.
PowerCubsChicago has 220 home runs this season, 37 more than San.
Plate disciplineCubsChicago has drawn 674 walks this season, 120 more than San.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CHC
Kevin Gausman RHP
Kevin Gausman
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.51
141st
WHIP
1.27
101st
K/9
9.32
55th
BB/9
2.38
43rd
P-Score58i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.32
137th
OPS/R
–
IP
177.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.27
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
SD
Nick Pivetta RHP
Nick Pivetta
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.86
20th
WHIP
1.01
14th
K/9
10.90
14th
BB/9
2.08
26th
P-Score63i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.52
7th
OPS/R
–
IP
34.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.90
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Pivetta allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.01 WHIP compared with 1.27.
·Pivetta enters with a 2.86 ERA compared with Gausman's 4.51.
·Pivetta allows the lower home-run rate: 0.52 vs 1.32 per nine.
·Pivetta strikes out 1.6 more batters per nine innings.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Gausman arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam51%93.8
Splitter39%84.0
Slider8%84.0
Changeup1%83.9
Sweeper1%79.1
Pivetta arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam52%94.0
Curveball22%79.0
Cutter13%91.1
Sweeper11%81.6
Sinker1%93.6
Slider0%86.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs RHP (Nick Pivetta)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs RHP (Kevin Gausman)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 30, 7:00 PM ET
CHCCHC
.764
+28 ptsOPS edge
SDSD
.736

Slight edge: CHC

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs RHP Nick Pivetta
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Pivetta (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF81.94245.9731-for-3Very small sample
2Alex BregmanR3B73.81928.7991-for-1Very small sample
3Michael BuschL1B65.74520.7360-for-4Very small sample
4Seiya SuzukiRRF75.84126.7971-for-5Very small sample
5Ian HappSLF64.73824.8160-for-4Very small sample
6Nico HoernerR2B49.6668.6650-for-4Very small sample
7Matt ShawRRF50.7375.6401-for-2Very small sample
8Carson KellyRC56.71210.6383-for-6Very small sample
9Dansby SwansonRSS55.69419.6771-for-2Very small sample
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .973 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample81H-Score2Alex Bregman 3B · R.265 / .819 · 28 HRvs hand .799 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample73H-Score3Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .736 · 0-for-4 · Very small sample65H-Score4Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .797 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample75H-Score5Ian Happ LF · S.218 / .738 · 24 HRvs hand .816 · 0-for-4 · Very small sample64H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .665 · 0-for-4 · Very small sample49H-Score7Matt Shaw RF · R.237 / .737 · 5 HRvs hand .640 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample50H-Score8Carson Kelly C · R.258 / .712 · 10 HRvs hand .638 · 3-for-6 · Very small sample56H-Score9Dansby Swanson SS · R.213 / .694 · 19 HRvs hand .677 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample55H-Score
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Kevin Gausman
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gausman (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF84.82825.7828-for-20Small sample
2Dustin HarrisLLF42.7360.803No MLB historyNo history
3Manny MachadoR3B68.71030.7147-for-22Small sample
4Ty FranceR1B77.86521.8695-for-16Small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF68.74326.7440-for-3Very small sample
6Xander BogaertsRSS57.67613.68717-for-57Established history
7Ethan SalasLC—.7372.834No MLB historyNo history
8Austin HaysRDH35.7053.5491-for-5Very small sample
9Jake CronenworthL2B38.6297.6301-for-14Small sample
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .782 · 8-for-20 · Small sample84H-Score2Dustin Harris LF · L.293 / .736 · 0 HRvs hand .803 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .714 · 7-for-22 · Small sample68H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · 5-for-16 · Small sample77H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .744 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score6Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .687 · 17-for-57 · Established history57H-Score7Ethan Salas C · L.256 / .737 · 2 HRvs hand .834 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Austin Hays DH · R.280 / .705 · 3 HRvs hand .549 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample35H-Score9Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .630 · 1-for-14 · Small sample38H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCHCCHC·SDSD
AVG.251 6th.244 17th
OPS.767 1st.717 19th
Home runs220 3rd183 15th
Runs850 1st722 15th
OBP.339 2nd.319 12th
SLG.428 1st.398 20th
PitchingCHCCHC·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.12vs3.99
CHCSD
WHIP1.26vs1.29
CHCSD
K/97.8vs8.2
CHCSD
HR Allowed231vs180
CHCSD
BullpenCHCCHC·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.94vs3.72
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.30vs1.26
no league rank
Saves36vs48
CHCSD
ResultsCHCCHC·SDSD
+4502nd
Run differential
+30718th
89–73 Record91–71
5–5 Last 108–2
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs (5–5)
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
San Diego Padres (8–2)
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Kevin Gausman (4.51 ERA, 9–12) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Nick Pivetta (2.86 ERA, 3–2) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
10:00 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Cubs and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Kevin Gausman is at 58; Nick Pivetta is at 63. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.