INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / NL West

Chicago Cubs 0, San Diego Padres 8

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

10:00 PM ET · Petco ParkGame-day snapshot Oct 1, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score61
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 61
0
0–8
FINAL · 9 innings
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 47
8
T-Score47
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Matthew BoydCHC
StarterLoss
4.0541458
Michael KingSD
StarterWin
7.0103897
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
CHCChicago Cubs000000000031
SDSan Diego Padres2011301008131
Top hitters
Manny Machado2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Fernando Tatis Jr.2-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 BB
Xander Bogaerts2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Jackson Merrill2-for-4 · 2 RBI
Ty France2-for-4 · 1 R

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPadresThe starters are close overall, but King owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handCubsChicago has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupPadresSan's official lineup includes 7 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
Recent formPadresSan has won 8 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
PowerCubsChicago has 220 home runs this season, 37 more than San.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CHC
Matthew Boyd LHP
Matthew Boyd
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.91
93rd
WHIP
1.21
76th
K/9
6.82
178th
BB/9
2.77
72nd
P-Score52i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.07
89th
OPS/R
–
IP
126.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.64
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
SD
Michael King RHP
Michael King
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.21
35th
WHIP
1.18
67th
K/9
7.74
131st
BB/9
3.41
137th
P-Score60i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.97
66th
OPS/R
–
IP
185.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.10
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
How the starters differ
·King enters with a 3.21 ERA compared with Boyd's 3.91.
·King has produced a quality start in 80% of outings versus 40%.
·Boyd walks 0.6 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Boyd enters with a 2.86 road ERA; King owns a 2.74 ERA at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Boyd arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam44%92.8
Changeup28%78.7
Slider14%83.1
Curveball12%73.1
Sinker1%91.9
King arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker28%93.2
Changeup26%86.5
Four-seam20%94.3
Sweeper19%82.0
Slider7%85.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs RHP (Michael King)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs LHP (Matthew Boyd)
14th
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 29, 7:00 PM ET
CHCCHC
.763
+17 ptsOPS edge
SDSD
.746

Slight edge: CHC

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs RHP Michael King
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs King (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF81.94245.973No MLB historyNo history
2Alex BregmanR3B73.81928.7997-for-8Very small sample
3Michael BuschL1B65.74520.736No MLB historyNo history
4Seiya SuzukiRRF75.84126.7970-for-1Very small sample
5Ian HappSLF64.73824.8160-for-1Very small sample
6Nico HoernerR2B49.6668.6650-for-1Very small sample
7Pedro RamírezS2B52.7236.662No MLB historyNo history
8Carson KellyRC56.71210.6381-for-1Very small sample
9Dansby SwansonRSS55.69419.677No MLB historyNo history
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .973 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score2Alex Bregman 3B · R.265 / .819 · 28 HRvs hand .799 · 7-for-8 · Very small sample73H-Score3Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .736 · No MLB history · No history65H-Score4Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .797 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample75H-Score5Ian Happ LF · S.218 / .738 · 24 HRvs hand .816 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample64H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .665 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample49H-Score7Pedro Ramírez 2B · S.261 / .723 · 6 HRvs hand .662 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score8Carson Kelly C · R.258 / .712 · 10 HRvs hand .638 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample56H-Score9Dansby Swanson SS · R.213 / .694 · 19 HRvs hand .677 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs LHP Matthew Boyd
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Boyd (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF84.82825.9873-for-12Small sample
2Samad TaylorRLF48.7982.7642-for-5Very small sample
3Manny MachadoR3B68.71030.7362-for-4Very small sample
4Ty FranceR1B77.86521.8530-for-2Very small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF68.74326.7200-for-3Very small sample
6Austin HaysRDH35.7053.7991-for-3Very small sample
7Xander BogaertsRSS57.67613.6164-for-20Small sample
8Jake CronenworthL2B38.6297.5760-for-2Very small sample
9Luis CampusanoRC61.7968.741No MLB historyNo history
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .987 · 3-for-12 · Small sample84H-Score2Samad Taylor LF · R.316 / .798 · 2 HRvs hand .764 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample48H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .736 · 2-for-4 · Very small sample68H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .853 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample77H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .720 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score6Austin Hays DH · R.280 / .705 · 3 HRvs hand .799 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample35H-Score7Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .616 · 4-for-20 · Small sample57H-Score8Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .576 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample38H-Score9Luis Campusano C · R.265 / .796 · 8 HRvs hand .741 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCHCCHC·SDSD
AVG.251 6th.244 17th
OPS.767 1st.717 19th
Home runs220 3rd183 15th
Runs850 1st722 15th
OBP.339 2nd.319 12th
SLG.428 1st.398 20th
PitchingCHCCHC·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.12vs3.99
CHCSD
WHIP1.26vs1.29
CHCSD
K/97.8vs8.2
CHCSD
HR Allowed231vs180
CHCSD
BullpenCHCCHC·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.94vs3.72
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.30vs1.26
no league rank
Saves36vs48
CHCSD
ResultsCHCCHC·SDSD
+4502nd
Run differential
+30718th
89–73 Record91–71
5–5 Last 108–2
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs (5–5)
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
San Diego Padres (8–2)
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Matthew Boyd (3.91 ERA, 10–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Michael King (3.21 ERA, 12–10) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
10:00 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Cubs and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Matthew Boyd is at 52; Michael King is at 60. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.