Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCubsBrown owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .004 difference in OPS.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 64–54 in T-Score.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Brown allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.94 WHIP compared with 1.37.
·Brown enters with a 1.85 ERA compared with Mlodzinski's 3.81.
·Brown owns a 8.6 K/9 compared with Mlodzinski's 7.0.
·Brown allows the lower home-run rate: 0.26 vs 0.70 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Brown | Mlodzinski | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 45 | 91 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 2.50 | 3.61 | |
| WAR | 2.0 | 1.6 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Brown arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 37% | 96.3 |
| Knuckle Curve | 36% | 86.8 |
| Sinker | 21% | 96.4 |
| Changeup | 6% | 90.1 |
Mlodzinski arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 27% | 95.1 |
| Splitter | 26% | 85.8 |
| Sinker | 18% | 94.4 |
| Curveball | 11% | 83.9 |
| Sweeper | 11% | 83.5 |
| Slider | 4% | 90.3 |
| Cutter | 3% | 92.4 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.753OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CHC·
PIT+3203rd
Run differential
+22512th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Ben Brown is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Pirates?+
Carmen Mlodzinski is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:35 PM ET at PNC Park.
Where is the game being played?+
PNC Park, home of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ben Brown is at 72; Carmen Mlodzinski is at 45. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.