Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPiratesSkenes leads Rea in P-Score (66 vs 45), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 64–54 in T-Score.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Skenes strikes out 3.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Skenes owns the lower FIP, 3.09 to 4.87.
·Skenes allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.13 WHIP compared with 1.36.
·Skenes allows the lower home-run rate: 0.94 vs 1.42 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Rea | Skenes | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 109 | 88 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.87 | 3.09 | |
| WAR | 0.4 | 4.2 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Rea arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 42% | 93.8 |
| Changeup | 18% | 87.7 |
| Slider | 11% | 86.2 |
| Sweeper | 9% | 82.9 |
| Sinker | 8% | 92.5 |
| Cutter | 6% | 87.2 |
| Curveball | 6% | 80.1 |
Skenes arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 41% | 96.8 |
| Sweeper | 15% | 84.3 |
| Changeup | 13% | 88.7 |
| Sinker | 12% | 96.6 |
| Splitter | 11% | 93.2 |
| Slider | 8% | 86.7 |
| Curveball | 0% | 81.8 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.753OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CHC·
PIT+3203rd
Run differential
+22512th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Colin Rea is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Pirates?+
Paul Skenes is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at PNC Park.
Where is the game being played?+
PNC Park, home of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Colin Rea is at 45; Paul Skenes is at 66. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.