Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMetsMcLean owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handRedsCincinnati has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthMetsNew leads 45–30 in T-Score.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·McLean owns the lower FIP, 3.57 to 5.62.
·McLean strikes out 2.4 more batters per nine innings.
·McLean allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.18 WHIP compared with 1.53.
·McLean allows the lower home-run rate: 0.92 vs 1.71 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Lodolo | McLean | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 120 | 75 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 5.62 | 3.57 | |
| WAR | 0.0 | 3.2 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Lodolo arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 27% | 93.9 |
| Sinker | 26% | 93.7 |
| Curveball | 25% | 82.4 |
| Changeup | 23% | 88.1 |
McLean arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 34% | 95.0 |
| Four-seam | 20% | 96.0 |
| Curveball | 14% | 82.0 |
| Sweeper | 11% | 84.9 |
| Cutter | 10% | 92.1 |
| Changeup | 6% | 88.2 |
| Slider | 4% | 86.0 |
| Slow Curve | 0% | 74.8 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.687OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.684OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CIN·
NYM+7728th
Run differential
+14922nd
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Nick Lodolo is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Mets?+
Nolan McLean is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at Citi Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Citi Field, home of the New York Mets.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Nick Lodolo is at 41; Nolan McLean is at 65. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.