INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL West

Atlanta Braves 3, Los Angeles Dodgers 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:00 PM ET · UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumGame-day snapshot Oct 5, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score55
Atlanta Braves
94–68 · 1st NL East · T-Score 55
3
3–5
FINAL · 9 innings
Los Angeles Dodgers
100–62 · 1st NL West · T-Score 66
5
T-Score66
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Dylan DoddATL
Starter
3.0200447
Victor MederosATL
ReliefLoss
0.1221011
Tarik SkubalLAD
StarterWin
6.0212794
Evan PhillipsLAD
ReliefSave
0.1001012
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
ATLAtlanta Braves000001002340
LADLos Angeles Dodgers000203000580
Top hitters
Teoscar Hernández2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Kyle Tucker2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Ozzie Albies1-for-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Sean Murphy1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Max Muncy1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handDodgersLos owns a .756 OPS vs LHP, 5th in MLB; Atlanta ranks 21th vs LHP.
LineupDodgersThe confirmed Los order includes 6 hitters with an OPS above .750 against left-handed pitching.
Recent formDodgersLos has been the better recent team, at 8–2 over the last 10.
WeatherModerate impactA 11 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

ATL
Dylan Dodd LHP
Dylan Dodd
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.54
WHIP
0.91
K/9
9.60
BB/9
2.54
FIP
–
HR/9
1.27
OPS/R
–
IP
49.2
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
LAD
Tarik Skubal LHP
Tarik Skubal
Los Angeles Dodgers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.72
15th
WHIP
0.96
10th
K/9
10.55
23rd
BB/9
1.53
2nd
P-Score81i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.79
31st
OPS/R
–
IP
158.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.25
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
8
How the starters differ
·Skubal allows the lower home-run rate: 0.79 vs 1.27 per nine.
·Skubal walks 1.0 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Dodd carries a 4.43 road ERA, compared with Skubal's 3.63 mark at home.
·Skubal has one extra day of rest entering this start.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Dodd arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker60%93.9
Cutter35%87.1
Slider5%82.5
Four-seam0%94.2
Skubal arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam38%96.8
Changeup26%87.7
Sinker17%96.7
Slider14%89.7
Curveball5%80.4

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Braves vs LHP (Tarik Skubal)
21st
in MLB
0.696OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Dodgers vs LHP (Dylan Dodd)
5th
in MLB
0.756OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Oct 3, 2:35 PM ET
ATLATL
.717
−60 ptsOPS edge
LADLAD
.777

Clear edge: LAD

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs LHP Tarik Skubal
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Skubal (BvP)
1Drake BaldwinLC79.81725.6952-for-3Very small sample
2Ronald Acuña Jr.RRF73.79620.7490-for-3Very small sample
3Ozzie AlbiesS2B53.68522.7273-for-5Very small sample
4Matt OlsonL1B81.82341.8243-for-10Small sample
5Michael Harris IILCF75.81226.7801-for-2Very small sample
6Mauricio DubónRLF55.72012.6751-for-10Small sample
7Austin RileyR3B59.65419.6631-for-2Very small sample
8Sean MurphyRC34.5563.3700-for-3Very small sample
9Ha-Seong KimRSS20.3590.2331-for-2Very small sample
1Drake Baldwin C · L.284 / .817 · 25 HRvs hand .695 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample79H-Score2Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R.255 / .796 · 20 HRvs hand .749 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample73H-Score3Ozzie Albies 2B · S.237 / .685 · 22 HRvs hand .727 · 3-for-5 · Very small sample53H-Score4Matt Olson 1B · L.251 / .823 · 41 HRvs hand .824 · 3-for-10 · Small sample81H-Score5Michael Harris II CF · L.294 / .812 · 26 HRvs hand .780 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample75H-Score6Mauricio Dubón LF · R.276 / .720 · 12 HRvs hand .675 · 1-for-10 · Small sample55H-Score7Austin Riley 3B · R.219 / .654 · 19 HRvs hand .663 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample59H-Score8Sean Murphy C · R.182 / .556 · 3 HRvs hand .370 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample34H-Score9Ha-Seong Kim SS · R.116 / .359 · 0 HRvs hand .233 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample20H-Score
Los Angeles DodgersOfficial lineupvs LHP Dylan Dodd
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Dodd (BvP)
1Mookie BettsRSS75.78023.771No MLB historyNo history
2Shohei OhtaniLTWP84.88930.881No MLB historyNo history
3Will SmithRC71.78110.604No MLB historyNo history
4Freddie FreemanL1B71.79216.681No MLB historyNo history
5Teoscar HernándezRLF66.75916.9071-for-1Very small sample
6Kyle TuckerLRF63.71517.7630-for-1Very small sample
7Andy PagesRCF74.81123.902No MLB historyNo history
8Max MuncyL3B80.83829.847No MLB historyNo history
9Tommy EdmanS2B52.7148.7491-for-3Very small sample
1Mookie Betts SS · R.257 / .780 · 23 HRvs hand .771 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score2Shohei Ohtani TWP · L.275 / .889 · 30 HRvs hand .881 · No MLB history · No history84H-Score3Will Smith C · R.260 / .781 · 10 HRvs hand .604 · No MLB history · No history71H-Score4Freddie Freeman 1B · L.288 / .792 · 16 HRvs hand .681 · No MLB history · No history71H-Score5Teoscar Hernández LF · R.267 / .759 · 16 HRvs hand .907 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample66H-Score6Kyle Tucker RF · L.233 / .715 · 17 HRvs hand .763 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample63H-Score7Andy Pages CF · R.274 / .811 · 23 HRvs hand .902 · No MLB history · No history74H-Score8Max Muncy 3B · L.252 / .838 · 29 HRvs hand .847 · No MLB history · No history80H-Score9Tommy Edman 2B · S.247 / .714 · 8 HRvs hand .749 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample52H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseATLATL·LADLAD
AVG.246 12th.257 3rd
OPS.718 17th.762 2nd
Home runs204 9th204 8th
Runs742 8th801 4th
OBP.309 28th.338 3rd
SLG.409 7th.424 2nd
PitchingATLATL·LADLAD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.63vs3.55
ATLLAD
WHIP1.24vs1.14
ATLLAD
K/98.4vs9.5
ATLLAD
HR Allowed185vs172
ATLLAD
BullpenATLATL·LADLAD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.73vs3.62
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.24vs1.23
no league rank
Saves49vs46
ATLLAD
ResultsATLATL·LADLAD
+33811th
Run differential
+4323rd
94–68 Record100–62
5–5 Last 108–2
Last 10 games
Atlanta Braves (5–5)
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
Los Angeles Dodgers (8–2)
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—5
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Braves?+
Dylan Dodd (2.54 ERA, 4–1) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Dodgers?+
Tarik Skubal (2.72 ERA, 12–7) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:00 PM ET at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, home of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Braves and Dodgers performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Dodgers 5–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.