INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL West / NL Central

San Diego Padres 2, Milwaukee Brewers 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

8:30 PM ET · American Family FieldGame-day snapshot Oct 5, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score47
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 47
2
2–3
FINAL · 9 innings
Milwaukee Brewers
103–59 · 1st NL Central · T-Score 70
3
T-Score70
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Robbie RaySD
Starter
2.2422145
Adrian MorejonSD
ReliefLoss
2.0310231
Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
Starter
4.0421688
DL HallMIL
ReliefWin
1.0002020
Trevor MegillMIL
ReliefSave
1.1100217
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
SDSan Diego Padres020000000291
MILMilwaukee Brewers002000100370
Top hitters
Jackson Chourio1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
William Contreras1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 BB
Luis Campusano1-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 BB
Jake Cronenworth0-for-3 · 1 RBI
Dustin Harris2-for-4 · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersMilwaukee has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Misiorowski leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
BullpenBrewersMilwaukee has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Team strengthBrewersMilwaukee leads 70–47 in T-Score.
PowerPadresSan has 183 home runs this season, 29 more than Milwaukee.
WeatherModerate impactA 6 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

SD
Robbie Ray LHP
Robbie Ray
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.59
58th
WHIP
1.35
133rd
K/9
7.61
137th
BB/9
4.56
203rd
P-Score49i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.20
109th
OPS/R
–
IP
165.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.81
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
10
MIL
Jacob Misiorowski RHP
Jacob Misiorowski
Milwaukee Brewers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
1.80
2nd
WHIP
0.80
1st
K/9
12.98
1st
BB/9
2.27
33rd
P-Score89i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.72
21st
OPS/R
–
IP
174.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.70
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Misiorowski strikes out 5.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Misiorowski allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.80 WHIP compared with 1.35.
·Misiorowski enters with a 1.80 ERA compared with Ray's 3.59.
·Ray has produced a quality start in 67% of outings versus 25%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Ray arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam31%93.1
Slider23%86.1
Changeup19%86.2
Sinker15%92.6
Knuckle Curve12%79.6
Misiorowski arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam63%100.6
Cutter14%95.8
Slider11%91.8
Curveball10%88.0
Changeup1%92.5
Sinker0%100.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Padres vs RHP (Jacob Misiorowski)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Brewers vs LHP (Robbie Ray)
14th
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Oct 3, 4:35 PM ET
SDSD
.742
−16 ptsOPS edge
MILMIL
.758

Slight edge: MIL

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Jacob Misiorowski
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Misiorowski (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF84.82825.7822-for-3Very small sample
2Dustin HarrisLLF42.7360.803No MLB historyNo history
3Manny MachadoR3B68.71030.7140-for-3Very small sample
4Ty FranceR1B77.86521.8691-for-2Very small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF68.74326.7440-for-3Very small sample
6Xander BogaertsRSS57.67613.6870-for-3Very small sample
7Ethan SalasLC—.7372.834No MLB historyNo history
8Luis CampusanoRC61.7968.791No MLB historyNo history
9Jake CronenworthL2B38.6297.630No MLB historyNo history
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .782 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample84H-Score2Dustin Harris LF · L.293 / .736 · 0 HRvs hand .803 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .714 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample77H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .744 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score6Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .687 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample57H-Score7Ethan Salas C · L.256 / .737 · 2 HRvs hand .834 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Luis Campusano C · R.265 / .796 · 8 HRvs hand .791 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score9Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .630 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score
Milwaukee BrewersOfficial lineupvs LHP Robbie Ray
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Ray (BvP)
1Jackson ChourioRLF79.83825.9791-for-3Very small sample
2Brice TurangL2B76.81621.6200-for-5Very small sample
3William ContrerasRC74.75818.7601-for-5Very small sample
4Jake BauersL1B84.87326.9010-for-1Very small sample
5Christian YelichLDH58.69312.6104-for-16Small sample
6Cooper PrattRSS48.7183.572No MLB historyNo history
7Luis LaraSRF42.6361.587No MLB historyNo history
8Garrett MitchellLCF71.77011.668No MLB historyNo history
9Joey OrtizRSS58.7309.6640-for-2Very small sample
1Jackson Chourio LF · R.291 / .838 · 25 HRvs hand .979 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample79H-Score2Brice Turang 2B · L.268 / .816 · 21 HRvs hand .620 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample76H-Score3William Contreras C · R.270 / .758 · 18 HRvs hand .760 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample74H-Score4Jake Bauers 1B · L.266 / .873 · 26 HRvs hand .901 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample84H-Score5Christian Yelich DH · L.235 / .693 · 12 HRvs hand .610 · 4-for-16 · Small sample58H-Score6Cooper Pratt SS · R.281 / .718 · 3 HRvs hand .572 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score7Luis Lara RF · S.246 / .636 · 1 HRvs hand .587 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score8Garrett Mitchell CF · L.262 / .770 · 11 HRvs hand .668 · No MLB history · No history71H-Score9Joey Ortiz SS · R.270 / .730 · 9 HRvs hand .664 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample58H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseSDSD·MILMIL
AVG.244 17th.258 1st
OPS.717 19th.744 3rd
Home runs183 15th154 28th
Runs722 15th832 2nd
OBP.319 12th.341 1st
SLG.398 20th.403 10th
PitchingSDSD·MILMIL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.99vs3.51
SDMIL
WHIP1.29vs1.18
SDMIL
K/98.2vs9.6
SDMIL
HR Allowed180vs171
SDMIL
BullpenSDSD·MILMIL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.72vs3.29
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.26vs1.20
no league rank
Saves48vs55
SDMIL
ResultsSDSD·MILMIL
+30718th
Run differential
+4571st
91–71 Record103–59
8–2 Last 108–2
Last 10 games
San Diego Padres (8–2)
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
Milwaukee Brewers (8–2)
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Padres?+
Robbie Ray (3.59 ERA, 13–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Jacob Misiorowski (1.80 ERA, 16–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:30 PM ET at American Family Field.
Where is the game being played?+
American Family Field, home of the Milwaukee Brewers.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Padres and Brewers performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Brewers 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Robbie Ray is at 49; Jacob Misiorowski is at 89. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.